So out of these 10 schools, how many do you think I'll be admitted to?

Chance Me / Match Me!
1

This is for FUN; let’s see how accurate we can be! (BTW, I know I’m not a particularly good applicant.)

UNC
NYU (Stern)
Carnegie Mellon (Dietrich)
Johns Hopkins
Duke
Cornell
Columbia
UPenn
Harvard
Princeton

So here are my stats:

Objective:

New SAT: 1410 (700 in EBR&W and 710 in Math; will be taking again this month)
SAT II: 730 in Math 1 and a 660 in Math 2
Unweighted GPA: 3.88
Weighted GPA: 5.21
Class Rank: 5/525
AP: Calc AB, Calc BC, Stats, Environ, Bio, World, U.S. History, Psychology, English Lang (Have passed all of them or better)
Senior Course Load: Multivariable Calculus, AP U.S. Gov, AP Comp. Gov, AP Micro, AP Macro, AP English Lit, AP Spanish
Awards: AP Merit Scholar

Subjective:

Sports:
JV and Varsity Football (9-12, Captain my senior year, but NOT RECRUITED)
JV Baseball (9-10, was the statistician for the whole program)
Varsity Lacrosse (11-12)

Other ECs:
Spanish Club (9-12, Co-founder of the club, and I am fluent)
UNICEF (9-12, President)
KEY Club (9-12)
Speech (11-12, Captain of Extemporaneous Speaking)
Debate (11-12, Captain of Congressional Debate, also a PF Debater with many awards in both)
Math Club (11-12)
National Honors Society (11-12)
Amnesty International (12, joined because I accidentally walked in on a meeting and got interested lol)
Practicing Martial Arts (I have 2 black belts)
Helping my dad with his insurance business
Tutoring my siblings

Job/Work Experience: Worked at a movie theater between my junior and sophomore years

Volunteer Work: I have about 120 hours thanks to my ECs

Summer Activities:
Football workouts (AKA Hell on Earth)
Helping out with Speech and Debate
Touring schools

Essays:
Common App: 9/10. Very in-depth story about the relationship between my autistic brother and me.
UNC: 7/10. Funny, quirky, and relatable.
NYU: 8/10. Really clever, I enjoyed writing it.
CMU: 9/10. Witty, funny, and effective at explaining why CMU is a good fit.
JHU: 7/10. I thought it was good, but I didn’t feel very passionate when writing it.
Duke: 9/10. Really out of the box and fun to write.
Cornell: 8/10. Very solid, witty, and appropriately funny.
Columbia: 7/10. Similar problem to JHU, but still good.
UPenn: 8/10. All-around a really good supplement.
Harvard: 9/10. Did a good job at conveying myself as an applicant and was pretty fun to write.
Princeton: 10/10. Had three people read it, and all three of them cried, not to mention a dope ending.

Recommendations:
Teacher Rec. #1: 10/10. My Stats teacher who has caused everyone who has read the essay to cry.
Teacher Rec. #2: 9/10. My Spanish teacher. I’m apparently the best-speaking student he’s ever had.
Counselor Rec.: 8/10. I’ve had a lot of face-time with my counselor to work out schedules and things.
Additional Rec.: 8/10. From my football coach who says that I’m the smartest player he’s ever coached, but it’s not very specialized.

Other:
Ethnicity: White
Gender: Male
State: NC
Income: $80,000
Intended Major: Statistics (I intend to get a PhD)

2

1-2, UNC and NYU (still most likely hard with those test scores)

3

Do you have a safety? I am inclined to agree, UNC and NYU are most likely. Probably not for the rest, unless your test scores improve. For schools that require subject tests, it is not usual to take both math tests, and your percentile is low on Math II. Sorry… not making this fun.

4

0-2

5

3-4

6

1

7

1

8

2 max - UNC and NYU or CMU.

9

1

10

I’d say 3-4, but do you have a safety school? UNC and NYU seem like matches, but I’d never be too sure.

11

UNC is my safety because I’m in-state. People from my school with ranks that are way worse and worse test scores usually get in no problem. I’m fairly confident on this one.

12

2-3

13

definitely und, probably nyu, possibly cmu/jhu, the rest is unpredictable but if your essays are as good as you say i would guess you would probably get into one of the unpredictables

14

Even if you get into some of these, it will be hard to pay for with $80,000 income. (NYU, CMU, JHU)

If you are instate and can get into UNC that is an excellent choice.

What are the financial safeties, or ones where you could get significant merit?

15

I think Duke, Carnegie Mellon, UNC, and NYU

16

UNC, NYU max probably. For the others your scores seem too low. Maybe a slim chance at CMU/Duke, but ivies, almost definitely no. Good luck.

17

1, possibly 2

18

All it takes is a hiccup in a rec letter that you don’t realize is there, or a misjudgment on an essay topic. I’d add a more sure safety if I were you. You still have 2 weeks to the NC State RD deadline.

19

Very true. Thanks a lot for the advice.