<p>Dad2, you are absolutely right when you say that top students generally get into at least a few of their colleges of choice. However, things do go wrong, more times than you would expect. I have seen top students get into trouble senior year, whether it is foolishness, laziness, mood probems, etc. Many, many times, I have seen kids blow a top drawer app that last term. Some get in under the wire with early plans so that the colleges don't see that damning Mid year report, or the high school does not report a transgression that occurs during that time. Sometimes not. </p>
<p>Also this year there were a number of kids we know who are going to safeties for a number of reasons such as aid not panning out, and because it was a dismal year for admissions. Parents have had to make a decision whether it is worth $52K for their student to go to OK but not Elite U, when there is a merit award for $30K sitting at Safety U or State U is only $15K. At the time of sending out the apps, it was all systems go, and really everyone had their minds on the top reaches and were willing to pay full freight and even throw in an arm and leg to boot for kid to go there. Now that the season is over, and that $52K is a reality, it becomes a tough go to pay that check to a school that was a match but not really what the kid wants. I know my older son was reasonably pleased with one of our state schools. "I could go there, and be happy," he said. And when it came down to it, some of the elites even fell under it in terms of choice. Not the way the process started at all.</p>
<p>Also folks do not tend to brag about being turned down by a lot of schools. THere was a poster here that had a top kid who ended up at a good LAC, but not at a lot of his top choices. Had he not included that school, he would have batted zero in terms of choice. </p>
<p>Also I know some kids who have hurriedly added more schools to the list around Christmas time when the early answers have come back less than expected. I know we were one of those parents with my second son. When we realized that he what a tough shot he was going to have with his choice of major (and yes, we did know it all along but nothing like a bunch of rejections and deferrals to make it real), we added a bunch of non audition schools to the list. We did not exactly advertise the process. Good friends of ours did the same last year, when their D was deferred from GT and BC. She was a top student, and they had no true safeties on their list in the beginning. They became believer safter the early answers, especially since a number of other top kids at their D's school were deferred as well. They did not announce this move, just told some close friends quietly. </p>
<p>I'm not sure why every student would NOT want to find a safety school. There are thousands of schools out there to pick. In many endeavors in life, it is going to be a valuable skill to pick the best of the likely paths instead of only going for the top and sitting there with nothing until that such a morsel should drop in ones hands. Like finding an expensive item at top price from top outlets, cherry picking is easy. It's finding the "good deal" that takes the work. Anyone can put together a list among the top schools. Ahh, the job of considering among HPYSM. Discussing the ivies and other top schools that make everyone stoop and nod. The same schools that are featured repeatedly in guides. Really, who cares if you go to H vs Y vs P. It's finding the admissions deal that makes the college search challenging, and there are important life lessons to be learned from that. How on earth does it hurt to find a good safety school?</p>