<p>Six of the nine UC undergraduate campuses will see significant cuts in their freshman classes in the fall. UC Irvine and UC San Diego, the hardest hit, are slated for reductions of about 12%, or 550 and 520 slots respectively, because they over-enrolled students in recent years, officials said.</p>
<p>Wow, 12% is quite a significant reduction in admissions! But what caused the past overenrollment in the first place?</p>
<p>Historically, the % of admitted students who attend a school doesn't change much from year to year. Did UCI and UCSD get caught by an unusual jump in attendance ratio?</p>
<p>i think part of it is the budget cuts. i remember hearing that CSU's cut enrollment by something like 10 000 kids. combine the budget cuts with any slight over enrollment and it seems a little bigger. </p>
<p>also, classes are currently being cut back, so i would guess it means less students can speed through their degree. means more students are staying in school i guess. im not sure if its right, but i guess it makes sense.</p>
<p>Along with the budget cuts, I believe from the year 2005 and onwards, the university had more students accepting their admission than expected, but I think the former definitely make it push over the edge.</p>
<p>I think they overenrolled b/c the class of 2012 is the largest for Irvine...Also, this may help some of us get classes instead of being stuck on the waitlist for all your classes. </p>
<p>I think this is indicative of the troubling times that are going to be coming.</p>
<p>Ooh I hate typos:</p>
<p>"have made it go over the edge" >_></p>
<p>Hi Brando,</p>
<p>But according to this, class of '12 wasn't the largest; class of '11 was:
<a href="http://www.oir.uci.edu/enr/IIB01F-new-enr-by-school-admit-status-2005-2008.pdf%5B/url%5D">http://www.oir.uci.edu/enr/IIB01F-new-enr-by-school-admit-status-2005-2008.pdf</a></p>
<p>Last year, the number of entering freshman was about 350 lower than Fall '07; reducing it another 550 will take it back down to ~4000 freshmen.</p>
<p>So if they want to reduce the incoming class size by 550 they'll cut acceptances by 2500 or so if they're matriculation rate is about 20%. Tough year to be applying to college especially since this is supposed to be the biggest graduating high school class in years.</p>
<p>Actually, UCI's yield was closer to 24% last year. If one assumes a similar yield this year, they'd have to offer admission to ~3000 fewer students (if their planned cut is implemented). That would give them an admit rate around 40% (i.e., what UCSD was last year).</p>
<p>Way back in 2006, their admit rate was ~60%... then ~56% in 2007, and 49% last year.</p>
<p>I'd love to hear that my math is off.</p>
<p>It may be even more severe than that:
Enrollment is being reduced by 550 from 4409 (currently) to about 3859 next year.
University</a> of California - UC Newsroom | UC Regents approve plans to trim enrollment, freeze senior management pay as part of response to state budget challenge</p>
<p>Assuming a 24% matriculation rate, about 16079 will be admitted, (3859/.24)</p>
<p>It's been published that there are 44072 applicants to Irvine this year,</p>
<p>Therefore, (16079/44072)= about a 36.5% acceptance rate.</p>
<p>Plus, it's not really safe to assume the same matriculation rate as last year. By all accounts, I've heard many more students are considering a less expensive, in state UC education. This would push the matriculation rate up and force them to accept even fewer.</p>
<p>I think this is resulting from a perfect storm of factors: decreased enrollment, class reductions, flocking to cheaper public schools. I'm glad i'm not a senior this year.</p>
<p>Well, the 3859 would be <em>California</em> freshman enrollment.</p>
<p>To keep it an apples-to-apples comparison, of the 44072 freshman applications, 40686 were from Californians (the other 3386 are OOS and international applicants).</p>
<p>So keeping the 24% matriculation rate, you get 16079/40686 = 39.5% (which I rounded to 40%).</p>
<p>Still, you're right that a perfect storm is brewing... the UC Admissions spokeswoman said something about the application pattern indicating more students would like to attend a campus within commuting distance, and UCI sure fits that bill for a lot of folks... that may lead them to expect a higher yield.</p>
<p>^ah, you're right. My mistake.</p>