UC Davis unique transfer/TAG situation

I have a unique transfer/TAG situation I listed everything below

What do you think of my chances for admission?

Please Read the Whole Thing:

MAJOR: COMPUTER SCIENCE

GPA PRIOR TO FALL SEMESTER/QUARTER: 3.92

TAG: YES (approved)

The TAG stated that I needed to get a C or greater in all courses taken.
I got a 2.68 for this current semester/quarter.
Overall I have higher than the 3.2 required overall GPA

I have completed IGETC

I took classes at Evergreen Valley College (Semester) and Foothill College (Quarter)

I received the following graded:

Evergreen Valley College: (no +/- grades)

Calculus 1: D (5 units)

Chemistry 1A (general): B (5 unit)

Foothill College:

Computer Science 1A–Intro to C++: B (5 units)

History 4C (1700 to the fall of the Berlin Wall): A+ (4 units)

I have decided to take the following (all at Evergreen Valley college):

Spring 2016 (upcoming starting Feb 1st):

Comp 75: intro to object oriented programming (4 units)
This is a similar class to the one I took at Foothill. I did not have a good understanding of the concepts.
I believe this course will be taught in JAVA.

Calculus 1: first calculus class (5 units)
I have to repeat this class I received a D in

Chemistry 1B (the last general chem class) (5 units)
This will complete my science GE requirement

Summer 2016:

Calculus 2: (last calculus class before multi-variable)

I will have over 90 quarter / 60 semester units.
I have completed the math and english transfer class.

I originally planned to take calc 2 this semester and multi-variable calculus during the summer. However, I did not pass Calc 1 to be able to follow this schedule. Also multi-variable calculus is not offered in the summer any way.

I submitted the academic update and explained the concepts I had trouble with in Calculus 1 and explained how I used the break to review and plan to pass calculus 1.

I also called the tag counselor and he explained I still have a chance and that each application in these type of situations will be looked at on a case by case basis at UC Davis.

I also applied to the following (all as mathematics major):
UC Riverside
UC San Diego
UC Santa Barbara

I need Calc 1 and 2 in order to be allowed to be admitted and apply to SD and Riverside. I can take them in the summer according to them.

What do you think my chances are?

Does anyone have any experience in this type of situation, let me know?

Please and Thank You

@zerglingdude How is your situation unique? Every other TAG thread here describes exactly what you wrote.
D in the fall semester clearly violates your TAG contract. You still have a chance to be admitted without tag, but you need to write to admissions and explain your situation or at least put a comment on your application.
Most UCs do not look at summer before transfer and they most likely will make a decision before your spring grades are posted, which is why you need to let them know about your plans to retake the class in spring. Also note that UCSD requires a lot more than just Calc 1 and Calc 2 to be admitted to CS. You also need Calc 3, Linear Algebra and Differential Equations to be considered competitive.

You are missing a lot of math classes for Davis. If you got a D in just Calculus 1, what do you think the admissions offices might think on how you will do in the rest of the calculus series?

If you received a D or an F in any of your fall classes, your TAG is voided. The end.
Use the search function and sift through the endless threads of Davis TAG questions before making a post.