If USC Admissions had assumed last yearâs yield rate again (40.8%), and really wants to hit the target of 3000 enrolled, versus the surprise of 3,401 last year, that means only another 6,378 would have be admitted in March for a total of 7,353 this year versus 8,339 last year. And if 64,352 apply again this year, that would mean an admit rate of only 11.4%, down from 12.95% last year.
But⊠based on the email sent out today, they are looking to only admit 7,000 total and not even the 7,353 that I was predicting earlier in this thread. So, they are expecting a jump in yield rate again from 40.8% up to at least 42.9%. And if 64,352 apply again this year, the admit rate will fall to 10.9%. If that # of total applications hits 70K, that would equate to an admit rate of only 10% exactly. Either way, they are clearly expecting a ton of applications and unfortunately can only accommodate a freshman class of around 3K comfortably. It has just gotten to be way too competitive. I am thankful that both of my daughters got in during slightly less competitive cycles.
It is also very interesting how they sped up the process of notifications via email. At least they have learned to lessen some of the needless stress and angst out there while people wait on USPS and have to speculate needlessly.
As for the natural inclination to try and compare your stats to others who did get in now, if you did not, please just keep in mind that it is impossible to replicate exactly all that USC and its various Schools were evaluating. First, you are not competing with the entire applicant pool. You were competing with other applicants to one School only. Each School only has a certain allotment. And then they evaluate based on grades, test scores, essays, your why USC? answer, ECs, potential leadership roles and unique qualifiers or potential diversity markers like URM status, geography, First Gen status, etc.
It is not certain, but they could also include thoughts as to who might still be gaining an equivalent level university grant via need-based aid later. If so, such an applicant could be admitted in March instead, and USC could remain equivalently affordable for the applicantâs family. I.E. - if your EFC is rather low, an admission to USC can still be potentially affordable once you receive your FA offering⊠so they did not need to try and use a merit offering to entice you.