<p>"Xiggi, 87% of the students with pell grants graduated from UCLA. That's a pretty good number. UCLA deserves kudos."</p>
<p>Dstark, I am afraid that is NOT exactly how the numbers are used in the study work. </p>
<p>They use a regression analysis to predict an overall graduation rate for the school. After all, it is very doubtful that the could find detailed graduation rates by income levels. So, they use two numbers they have to build an "expected graduation rate" for the school: numbers of Pell grants at a school and average graduation rate. </p>
<p>I do not disagree with giving kudos to schools with high graduation rates. The issue at stake here is that the study ranks schools according to under- or overperformance compared to an extremely questionable yardstick. </p>
<p>Actually, you could use the UCLA numbers to DEMONSTRATE that there is no correlation between Pell grants and graduation rates at the MOST SELECTIVE schools in the country. I do not think it is hard to believe that there are a number of Pell grantees that have qualification and scores onpar with the average Ivy Leaguer. In each income level subset, there are overperformers and underperformers. The overperformers are earning admissions at our most prestigious schools. If the number of Pell grantees is smaller at HYP than at other schools, this is mostly due to single admission rates and more sringent admissions. The lower you go in selectivity, the higher the number of Pells you'll find. That should be a pretty simple concept. </p>
<p>FWIW, here are a few numbers about UCLA. How anyone could predict a graduation rate of 48% for the type of students admitted at UCLA is beyond me. </p>
<p>"The overall applicant pool had exceptionally strong academic qualifications, with nearly 18,700 students earning GPAs of 4.0 or above.</p>
<p>Admitted students had an overall grade point average, including honors and advanced placement courses, of 4.25. The average SAT I score for the admitted class was 1,347. The average SAT II Writing score was 674, the average SAT II Math score was 689 and the average score for the third SAT II test, a subject test chosen by the student from a list of specified subjects, was 693. Students took an average of 19 honors and Advanced Placement courses.</p>
<p>UCLAs strength also is reflected in its graduation rates. UCLA has the highest graduation rates in the UC system and among the highest in the country. UCLA graduated 83.5% of the fall 1999 freshman class within five years."</p>