What are my chances at these colleges? Especially for UMichigan?

Hi there! I am very new to this website and I found these “chance me” discussions very interesting and helpful so I wanted to give it a try. My dream school is University of Michigan so I would really appreciate it if you guys think it is a reach( it is) what may I do to improve my chances? Any help is much appreciated!!

School: Top Public school in OH

GPA: 3.79 UW and 4.23 W ( Freshman year I had a 4.37W and then sophomore 4.33W-will this downward trend be really bad? I was in an incredibly toxic and quite abusive relationship Junior year plus I increased APs every year…)

ACT: 31 with writing and 32 without writing (I know this is on the lower end for Michigan so I am definitely retaking it in Sept)

Rank: School doesn’t do rank but I am assuming at top 15-20%

Classes:
Freshman: -Straight As
Honors Geometry
Health/Gym
French
Honors English
Orchestra
AP World History ( got a 3)
Honors Bio

Sophomore- one B in APUSH and everything else As
Honors Chem
AP Bio (got a 4)
French
Honors Algebra 2
Orchestra
Honors English
APUSH (got a 4)

Junior- 3 Bs ( Physics, Precalc (screwed up final) and Chem) and everything else As
AP Physics -score not out
AP Lang
StudyHall
Honors Precalc
Orchestra
French
AP Chem

Senior:
AP Psychology
AP Lit
AP Calc AB
AP French
Study Hall
Orchestra
Anatomy and Pysiology

EC/Achievements
(Unnamed for privacy) Orchestra outside of school -going to audtition for Concertmaster in the fall
-Girl Up Club- Co-President and Co-Founder
-Speech and Debate- Alternate to States in OO

  • Principal Award awarded to only one female and one male student in each grade every year
    -Music Excellence Award
    -Semester awards every semester since Freshman Year
    -Teacher awards from French and Orchestra
    -Leadership Program in school-selected by school faculty
    -P.S.L.C- Principal Student Leadership Council
    -FMP-Freshman Mentoring Program Advisory Board
    -Graduated Chinese School -Chinese School TA-Multiple Chinese speech awards
    -Alot of Volunteer experiences in hospital
    -Quartet
    -Chinese and French Tutor
    -National Honors Society
    -Orchestra Librarian

Rec Letters: I anticipate them to be really good because I got my English teacher’s and her’s are the most competitive at our school and she also really likes me and has taught me for two years and also my AP bio teacher who knows how hard I work to get an A in his class.

Essay: I am not sure what I can write about rn but I have signed up for essay workshops taught by professional counselors so I hope/ trust it will be fine

Colleges I am certain to apply:

U of Michigan - EA and out of state (dream school)
OSU-EA and in state
Purdue
Indiana University
University of Pittsburgh
University of Rochester
Case Western Reserve University

Colleges that I kinda want to apply but also know I have very very low chance of getting in:

UChicago
UPenn
Johns Hopkins

I really appreciate any help or chance mes and advice!!! Thank you so much!

I think you’d have a good chance, but your GPA is a little on the low side. Your ECs are great however! Maybe you could try to find a way to explain your reason for your grade drop in ur application though. Best of luck!

i dont know if penn offers ed, but if you have the funds, you could apply to one of your three reach schools early decision to increase your chance of admission. Your EC’s are great and show a lot of leadership, focus on getting ur act to a 33+ and polish off your essays and you have great shots at umich and case western

Penn definitely has ED