What are my chances of getting in UNC Chapel Hill

[bbballlll]

I am an IN STATE student
4.2 weighted GPA (Kind of low in my opiinion)
3.8 unweighted GPA
1500 on the SAT
took two SAT subject tests and got 780 on one of them and a 790 on the other. Both math related
5 years of volunteering for a local religious group
2 years of key club
3 years of science olympiad (1 third place finish and 1 second place finish)
3 years of TyE (Business extracurricular not offered by schools)

the only reason why I am asking this question is that my weighted GPA is low when compared to their average weighted GPA of a 4.6. But my thinking is that there are thousands of high schools around the nations so there must be thousands of ways to calculate GPA.

Edit: took 2 AP’s in second year, 4 AP’s in third year, and 5 AP’s in senior year.

[Essel]

Log into your Naviance account, and check how many kids from your school have been accepted each year. If you’re in the top 70% of that number, class rank-wise, you’re probably safe. This is something we’ve been using these past three years to estimate if students get into UNC and NCSU. Say, about 50 students from your school were accepted each of the past three years- if your class rank is 35 or higher, you’re probably safe. Outside of that, it could go either way. We found this was a more reliable measure for in-state students than GPA or standardized scores. The bar just keeps getting higher every year- Good Luck!