What are my chances of getting into UC Davis?

<p>Even though most of my friends think I'll get in, I want an outsiders perspective.
I go to a catholic school in Cali--not the best neighborhood.
UC Davis isn't my top choice, but if I don't get accepted to a better university I would be happy going to UC Davis. I know acceptance/rejection letters come out late March, but I simply can't wait. </p>

<p>GPA: cumulative weighted: 4.1
cumulative unweighted: 3.8
SAT I: CR-620 M-620 WR-610
SAT II: Chem-540(erm...pointless), Spanish-760</p>

<p>AP/Honors: Chem, Calc AB and BC, Spanish, English (honors junior year, AP senior year)
The only easy classes I've taken over the 4 years were drama, art 1 and creative writing.</p>

<p>AP Spanish: 5</p>

<p>Academic awards, but that's about it. </p>

<p>EC's: tennis (3 yrs), Campus Ministry Team (3 yrs), school choir (3 yrs), school productions (2 musicals freshman and soph yr), yearbook, Garden Club</p>

<p>Community Service: teach youth catechism (3 yrs)</p>

<p>I went through several drafts for my essays and I got different people to read it. At one point I was way over the word limit. Eventually I cut it down and I can confidently say that I wrote strong essays. </p>

<p>What I've noticed is that a lot of people who have 3.8 and above GPAs tend to have better SAT scores than I do. Like in the 2000 and up range? I had to bust my a** for my mediocre score, and I simply didn't have the money for any type of tutoring. And it's not that my school is bad or anything, because a lot of my classmates did really well on the SAT with lower GPAs than me... -__-
Maybe I'm a hard worker but not necessarily skilled/intelligent? I don't understand myself.</p>

<p>About 50/50 if your UC GPA is at least 4.0.</p>