<p>Short answer: no
Long answer: no</p>
<p>The previously referred to SurveyUSA poll with O +12, it's now O +7.</p>
<p>In Pennsylvania, Obama Sees McCain Hi-Beams in His Rear-View Mirror: Barack Obama 51%, John McCain 44%, in Pennsylvania interviewing through Friday night 10/31/08. The candidates are tied among white voters, tied among those without a college degree. The situation is volatile. SurveyUSA will continue to collect data for WCAU-TV Philadelphia, KDKA-TV Pittsburgh, WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre, WJAC-TV Johnstown, and WHTM-TV Harrisburg.</p>
<p>Doubtful. Hopefully there won't be riots near me (Pgh)</p>
<p>Look, Pennsylvania has voted for both Kerry and Gore in the past two elections, and that was with sub-par Democratic turn-out. Trends suggest Democratic voter turn-out will set records, meaning that a state that has been blue for the past two elections is not going to be painted red. Forget all of this "upward trend" crap that McCain's campaign advisor would like to sell the media and the public on. Even Republican strategists recognized the sheer impossibility of a win for McCain. He would have to win 3 out of the 4 following states: OH, FL, VA, PA, all of which Obama is polling ahead in. All of the political experts have predicted a strong Obama victory, and a slight shift in the polls does nothing to jeopardize that.</p>
<p>It is entirely possible that Obama tricked McCain into trying to win PA. McCain would've been better off trying to win in OH and FL, where the margins have proven to be closer. Instead, Obama threw the race bait at McCain (i.e. getting Ed Rendell to go public with his worries about PA), and McCain fell for it. If this was the case, it's just another one of the Obama campaign's brilliant maneuvers.</p>
<p>Occam's razor shaves the best ^</p>