Yale SCEA Class of 2015 - Chance prediction.. how do YOU think YOU will fare?

<p>65-35?</p>

<p>I’m NA with ridiculously good extracurriculars, decent SATs, but a not-exactly-great GPA.</p>

<p>I think I may deferred. The interview went well, but not as well as I expected.</p>

<p>My chances? That’s a trivial question. Sometimes I think about Yale and I feel really happy and have a strong gut feeling that I’m for sure going to get in. Then 5 minutes later I feel sad and am critical of myself thinking I’m not good enough and I’m going to be denied flat out. I even feel like I shouldn’t have even applied, I might be a joke. So for me it’s just fluctuation. If I get in, I will seriously be so happy, I will literally scream my loudest and then call my parents, my brothers and sister, and then my best friend, and then post it on facebook and twitter for all my classmates to see (no one else in my school is even applying out of state, let alone an Ivy League school, they’re all going to UC or Ohio State for high school part 2)</p>

<p>@drjotengii
Dude, I feel the exact same way ALL THE TIME. And the same with people with my school, everybody is going to MSU or UMich, only a few are applying to Ivy Leagues (a few RD to Yale, Penn, Harvard, so forth, and an EA to Stanford which is pretty much an ivy.) Wow, I’m sort of a creep for knowing that, but I am so glad the others applying to Yale are RD, because my friend is a bit too smart for his own good.</p>

<p>I’d give myself 20% accept, 70% deferred, 10% reject… I’m probably being too optimistic though. =(</p>

<p>Still, hoping for the best on Dec. 15th…</p>

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<p>Me too! One second I think I’m gonna get in, and the next I picture myself being rejected. I just have no idea…</p>

<p>^Don’t torture yourself. What’s done is done.</p>

<p>^ Thank you, Lady Macbeth.</p>

<p>I have a feeling I will be deferred or rejected. Like most of the applicants. :(</p>

<p>If it were done when 'tis done, then t’were well it were done quickly…
-Macbeth
I can still recite that monologue from memory.</p>

<p>Oh. I just got this one from Midsummer Night’s Dream down since 5th grade. Not even kidding:</p>

<p>How now, Spirit, whither wander you?
Over hill, over dale,
Over brush, over fire,
Over park, over pale,
Thorough flood, thorough fire…</p>

<p>etc.</p>

<p>I could be in a coma and still recite the Prologue of Romeo & Juliet.</p>

<p>Kinda embarrassing, actually.</p>

<p>Ugh, Shakespeare…I have a test on Measure for Measure tomorrow. Not looking forward to that.</p>

<p>I love the comedies a lot more than the tragedies. I know people argue that true, deep emotion can only be felt in the tragedies, but I prefer laughing my head off to crying buckets.</p>

<p>I think there is a 60% chance of a tragedy (me being deferred), a 20% chance of me being ecstatic/knowing not what to do all at once (accepted), and a 20% chance of my hope being completely crushed (outright rejected). Though I think I’m being too optimistic with those above odds.</p>

<p>Is it true that if you’re one of the top applicants in your region, then you’re likely to get into Yale SCEA? Or is SCEA strictly a comparison over the entire SCEA pool?</p>

<p>^Good question. I am curious. However, I would not suspect they would do so simply because there are too many regions from which applicants apply, all of whom are presumably the best in that area. Yale doesn’t have room for all of them. So, I would think that they are compared to the applicant pool overall.</p>

<p>but since (according to various threads) applications are first read and summarized by regional admissions people, could some intra-regional bias be imparted upon the notes? some people also said the regional guys “defend” each application…would they work harder for the best in their region, and put less effort into the ones they believe will be deferred/rejected compared to the former, even without the context of the whole applicant pool?</p>

<p>Well of course applicants coming from very competitive areas have it the worst. Doesn’t mean you get in if you are a strong candidate from a weak region. It just means you’re competing with fewer qualified people, so your chances should improve.</p>

<p>From what I’ve read, its not like the regional person just goes and “defends” every app they have or something. Pretty much 9 times out of 10 or something, the word of a good regional guy gets the app accepted or deferred or rejected, by the committee. But yes, their best apps would therefore be “defended” best. Places a whole regional bias in, hence where the regional bias in acceptances comes from - smart way to do it, in my opinion.</p>