UC Acceptance rates for 2022 incoming high school & transfers are out

Colleges and Universities A-Z University of California - GENERAL
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… and let me see if I can present my spreadsheet. Notes will follow…

Campus Cohort Residence '22 Applied '22 Acceptd '22 A/R % '21 Applied '21 Accepted '21 A/R % '21 to '22 '21 to '22
UCB High School CA Res 72,417 10,518 14.5% 62,191 10,452 16.8% 16.4% -2.3%
OOS 32,580 2,805 8.6% 29,663 4,152 14.0% 9.8% -5.4%
Int’l. 23,195 1,280 5.5% 20,981 1,691 8.1% 10.6% -2.6%
H.S. Total 128,192 14,603 11.4% 112,835 16,295 14.4% 13.6% -3.0%
Transfer CA Res 16,027 4,559 28.4% 17,781 3,711 20.9% -9.9% 7.5%
OOS 632 44 7.0% 705 36 5.1% -10.4% 1.9%
Int’l. 2,686 597 22.2% 3,696 556 15.0% -27.3% 7.2%
Trx Total 19,345 5,200 26.9% 22,182 4,303 19.4% -12.8% 7.5%
Combined CA Res 88,444 15,077 17.0% 79,972 14,163 17.7% 10.6% -0.7%
OOS 33,212 2,849 8.6% 30,368 4,188 13.8% 9.4% -5.2%
Int’l. 25,881 1,877 7.3% 24,677 2,247 9.1% 4.9% -1.8%
Total 147,537 19,803 13.4% 135,017 20,598 15.3% 9.3% -1.9%
UCD High School CA Res 65,367 21,139 32.3% 60,984 23,713 38.9% 7.2% -6.6%
OOS 10,748 6,422 59.8% 9,534 7,649 80.2% 12.7% -20.4%
Int’l. 18,610 8,002 43.0% 16,618 11,112 66.9% 12.0% -23.9%
H.S. Total 94,725 35,563 37.5% 87,136 42,474 48.7% 8.7% -11.2%
Transfer CA Res 13,400 8,184 61.1% 15,924 7,938 49.8% -15.9% 11.3%
OOS 308 42 13.6% 360 63 17.5% -14.4% -3.9%
Int’l. 1,756 872 49.7% 2,481 1,453 58.6% -29.2% -8.9%
Trx Total 15,464 9,098 58.8% 18,765 9,454 50.4% -17.6% 8.4%
Combined CA Res 78,767 29,323 37.2% 76,908 31,651 41.2% 2.4% -4.0%
OOS 11,056 6,464 58.5% 9,894 7,712 77.9% 11.7% -19.4%
Int’l. 20,366 8,874 43.6% 19,099 12,565 65.8% 6.6% -22.2%
Total 110,189 44,661 40.5% 105,901 51,928 49.0% 4.0% -8.5%
UCI High School CA Res 84,743 15,460 18.2% 78,027 15,669 20.1% 8.6% -1.9%
OOS 14,309 5,239 36.6% 11,699 8,627 73.7% 22.3% -37.1%
Int’l. 20,113 4,324 21.5% 18,217 6,813 37.4% 10.4% -15.9%
H.S. Total 119,165 25,023 21.0% 107,943 31,109 28.8% 10.4% -7.8%
Transfer CA Res 19,939 8,271 41.5% 21,918 7,886 36.0% -9.0% 5.5%
OOS 456 54 11.8% 510 94 18.4% -10.6% -6.6%
Int’l. 2,448 971 39.7% 3,429 1,694 49.4% -28.6% -9.7%
Trx Total 22,843 9,296 40.7% 25,857 9,674 37.4% -11.7% 3.3%
Combined CA Res 104,682 23,731 22.7% 99,945 23,555 23.6% 4.7% -0.9%
OOS 14,765 5,293 35.8% 12,209 8,721 71.4% 20.9% -35.6%
Int’l. 22,561 5,295 23.5% 21,646 8,507 39.3% 4.2% -15.8%
Total 142,008 34,319 24.2% 133,800 40,783 30.5% 6.1% -6.3%
UCLA High School CA Res 91,544 8,423 9.2% 84,182 8,436 10.0% 8.7% -0.8%
OOS 34,627 3,043 8.8% 33,423 4,619 13.8% 3.6% -5.0%
Int’l. 23,608 1,359 5.8% 21,877 1,973 9.0% 7.9% -3.2%
H.S. Total 149,779 12,825 8.6% 139,482 15,028 10.8% 7.4% -2.2%
Transfer CA Res 21,194 5,190 24.5% 23,446 4,623 19.7% -9.6% 4.8%
OOS 791 54 6.8% 943 40 4.2% -16.1% 2.6%
Int’l. 2,922 525 18.0% 4,075 772 18.9% -28.3% -0.9%
Trx Total 24,907 5,769 23.2% 28,464 5,435 19.1% -12.5% 4.1%
Combined CA Res 112,738 13,613 12.1% 107,628 13,059 12.1% 4.7% 0.0%
OOS 35,418 3,097 8.7% 34,366 4,659 13.6% 3.1% -4.9%
Int’l. 26,530 1,884 7.1% 25,952 2,745 10.6% 2.2% -3.5%
Total 174,686 18,594 10.6% 167,946 20,463 12.2% 4.0% -1.6%
UCM High School CA Res 22,516 24,500 108.8% 24,848 22,197 89.3% -9.4% 19.5%
OOS 1,319 1,037 78.6% 1,122 788 70.2% 17.6% 8.4%
Int’l. 2,208 1,509 68.3% 1,823 1,084 59.5% 21.1% 8.8%
H.S. Total 26,043 27,046 103.9% 27,793 24,069 86.6% -6.3% 17.3%
Transfer CA Res 3,568 2,429 68.1% 4,452 2,756 61.9% -19.9% 6.2%
OOS 88 31 35.2% 86 25 29.1% 2.3% 6.1%
Int’l. 348 213 61.2% 424 275 64.9% -17.9% -3.7%
Trx Total 4,004 2,673 66.8% 4,962 3,056 61.6% -19.3% 5.2%
Combined CA Res 26,084 26,929 103.2% 29,300 24,953 85.2% -11.0% 18.0%
OOS 1,407 1,068 75.9% 1,208 813 67.3% 16.5% 8.6%
Int’l. 2,556 1,722 67.4% 2,247 1,359 60.5% 13.8% 6.9%
Total 30,047 29,719 98.9% 32,755 27,125 82.8% -8.3% 16.1%
UCR High School CA Res 46,456 30,640 66.0% 45,339 28,795 63.5% 2.5% 2.5%
OOS 2,492 2,195 88.1% 2,495 2,066 82.8% -0.1% 5.3%
Int’l. 5,417 4,427 81.7% 4,843 3,576 73.8% 11.9% 7.9%
H.S. Total 54,365 37,262 68.5% 52,677 34,437 65.4% 3.2% 3.1%
Transfer CA Res 11,198 7,029 62.8% 13,135 8,185 62.3% -14.7% 0.5%
OOS 226 81 35.8% 258 72 27.9% -12.4% 7.9%
Int’l. 1,044 731 70.0% 1,347 977 72.5% -22.5% -2.5%
Trx Total 12,468 7,841 62.9% 14,740 9,234 62.6% -15.4% 0.3%
Combined CA Res 57,654 37,669 65.3% 58,474 36,980 63.2% -1.4% 2.1%
OOS 2,718 2,276 83.7% 2,753 2,138 77.7% -1.3% 6.0%
Int’l. 6,461 5,158 79.8% 6,190 4,553 73.6% 4.4% 6.2%
Total 66,833 45,103 67.5% 67,417 43,671 64.8% -0.9% 2.7%
UCSB High School CA Res 73,575 19,651 26.7% 71,220 19,908 28.0% 3.3% -1.3%
OOS 18,432 5,316 28.8% 16,852 6,103 36.2% 9.4% -7.4%
Int’l. 18,984 3,734 19.7% 17,559 4,812 27.4% 8.1% -7.7%
H.S. Total 110,991 28,701 25.9% 105,631 30,823 29.2% 5.1% -3.3%
Transfer CA Res 15,274 8,913 58.4% 17,389 8,121 46.7% -12.2% 11.7%
OOS 387 124 32.0% 424 123 29.0% -8.7% 3.0%
Int’l. 1,937 1,191 61.5% 2,760 1,796 65.1% -29.8% -3.6%
Trx Total 17,598 10,228 58.1% 20,573 10,040 48.8% -14.5% 9.3%
Combined CA Res 88,849 28,564 32.1% 88,609 28,029 31.6% 0.3% 0.5%
OOS 18,819 5,440 28.9% 17,276 6,226 36.0% 8.9% -7.1%
Int’l. 20,921 4,925 23.5% 20,319 6,608 32.5% 3.0% -9.0%
Total 128,589 38,929 30.3% 126,204 40,863 32.4% 1.9% -2.1%
UCSC High School CA Res 53,051 22,927 43.2% 49,204 26,747 54.4% 7.8% -11.2%
OOS 6,878 4,860 70.7% 6,385 5,148 80.6% 7.7% -9.9%
Int’l. 5,937 3,288 55.4% 6,216 4,357 70.1% -4.5% -14.7%
H.S. Total 65,866 31,075 47.2% 61,805 36,252 58.7% 6.6% -11.5%
Transfer CA Res 10,524 6,507 61.8% 11,816 6,918 58.5% -10.9% 3.3%
OOS 295 57 19.3% 308 67 21.8% -4.2% -2.5%
Int’l. 853 543 63.7% 1,113 659 59.2% -23.4% 4.5%
Trx Total 11,672 7,107 60.9% 13,237 7,644 57.7% -11.8% 3.2%
Combined CA Res 63,575 29,434 46.3% 61,020 33,665 55.2% 4.2% -8.9%
OOS 7,173 4,917 68.5% 6,693 5,215 77.9% 7.2% -9.4%
Int’l. 6,790 3,831 56.4% 7,329 5,016 68.4% -7.4% -12.0%
Total 77,538 38,182 49.2% 75,042 43,896 58.5% 3.3% -9.3%
UCSD High School CA Res 84,326 20,107 23.8% 76,398 21,700 28.4% 10.4% -4.6%
OOS 23,778 7,479 31.5% 20,852 12,300 59.0% 14.0% -27.5%
Int’l. 23,122 3,574 15.5% 21,133 6,496 30.7% 9.4% -15.2%
H.S. Total 131,226 31,160 23.7% 118,383 40,496 34.2% 10.8% -10.5%
Transfer CA Res 16,834 10,049 59.7% 18,564 10,071 54.3% -9.3% 5.4%
OOS 451 152 33.7% 564 180 31.9% -20.0% 1.8%
Int’l. 2,397 1,066 44.5% 3,364 1,924 57.2% -28.7% -12.7%
Trx Total 19,682 11,267 57.2% 22,492 12,175 54.1% -12.5% 3.1%
Combined CA Res 101,160 30,156 29.8% 94,962 31,771 33.5% 6.5% -3.7%
OOS 24,229 7,631 31.5% 21,416 12,480 58.3% 13.1% -26.8%
Int’l. 25,519 4,640 18.2% 24,497 8,420 34.4% 4.2% -16.2%
Total 150,908 42,427 28.1% 140,875 52,671 37.4% 7.1% -9.3%

This is the best I can do atm, but I’ll try to improve it later on.

Some notes:

  • The last two columns, by expanding out the spreadsheet (hover the cursor over the top left part of where the spreadsheet begins) are 1.) +/(-) decrease in applications, and 2) +/(-) in accepted students (subtraction of A/R rates).
  • All UCs lowered their admissions rates bc of the order to increase in-state students [edit:] which raised all their yield rates and lowered their AR rates.
  • I would predict what I feel would be the estimated yield and enrollment of the accepted students for all UCs, but the only one I would feel slightly comfortable in attempting this would be UCLA’s, which I do later on on the UCLA board.
  • One more point: UCM had > 100% acceptance rate - no laughing, it’s a young growing university, which I guess shows that students were offered there w/o applying.
  • Let me belatedly add the link: UC Admissions 2022
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Mods: Could you change my topic heading to 2022 and purge this post? Thanks @Gumbymom.

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Thank you so much for putting this together and sharing! It’s definitely very interesting reading. I’m assuming that Merced’s 108% is because it’s the campus that students who are graduating in the top 9% get if they don’t get into any other UC campus, even if they don’t apply to Merced.

I can’t recall, but is it this year that the cap on out-of-state students is taking effect? I know that they were trying it last year, but I think that the legislature did a last-minute intervention for the UCs. But perhaps this is the year it will actually happen?

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I have a little more time right at the moment.

Your first paragraph is undoubtedly dead on.

Re your second paragraph, the state legislature passed a bill which the governor signed capping non-resident enrollment at 18% – I believe this refers to total undergraduate enrollment, and they did all this approximately in the summer of 2021, after that year’s admit class had been determined. Therefore, this cap was invoked for the admit class of 2022, with their wanting X-number more California students for the 2022 incoming class and subsequent ones, and they singled out UCB, UCLA and UCSD, all which had non-res enrollment of around 25%.

The thing that is distinguishable about 2022 is that just about all the UCs had a large increase in applications for freshmen, but all of them had large decreases in transfer applicants, which might have been because of the virus. (I have no doubt that the numbers for xfers will rise back to previous levels in 2023 and beyond.) The latter’s decreases worked out well for the UCs meeting the politicians’ demands for more spots for California students as the predominant amount of xfers are labeled as being from CA, but the reduced applications showed that the International students’ applications dropped at probably a higher rate (see my second-to-last column in expanded view). OOS students are not a factor in xfer admissions – too few in amount, but that’s probably because those from the other 49 tend to become residents of CA while attending CC. The UCs for the incoming 2022 class accepted from between 7-11% Int’ls (as a % of total acceptances), whereas in the previous year, the rates of acceptance were mostly 13-17% for this cohort. So the lower rate of non-res xfers meant that the UCs, particularly B, LA, SD could accept more non-res freshmen students.

As I hinted in my notes, it’s really tough to determine yield for the three cohorts and therefore for each UC, but the easier ones to figure might be UCLA and UCB. I know that UCB had a combined hs and xfer cohort they wanted to admit of I believe it said ~ 9,100, and they had to go to more spring admits because of the city ordinance which could have reduced the incoming 2022 class by thousands. UCLA will have a combined class of a few hundred more, mainly because of increased xfers. But neither can expand their student bodies on campus, because UCLA is the smallest UC campus (419 acres), and UCB has housing problems.

UCB has historically taken about a 2:1 ratio, of HS students/transfers, 67% to 33%, but UCLA has occasionally taken a mix of 3:2, or 60% to 40%. This is because the top xfer feeders to UC are in the SoCal, CCs like Santa Monica College, Pasadena, Irvine Valley, Pierce, etc. And since more CC students are tied to geography, they tend to want to attend UCLA over UCB.

So UCLA has used this factor and appears to want to enroll CA xfers, say at ~ 91% and ~9% for Int’ls at that 3:2 mix of HS/xfer cohort, and combine this with freshmen non-residents at X% to arrive at the 18% cap. UCLA also likes about a 2:1 OOS/Int’l student mix in its frosh class, so whatever the hard numbers are, it will be ~ 18% or maybe a bit above. There are other factors that could affect this non-res percentage, mostly working for a higher %s of CA students – CA students taking a bit longer to graduate, etc.

UCB has had a higher yield from its Int’l cohorts for both HS and Xfers – even greater than CA students, so their frosh class will be pretty close to equal between OOS and these Int’l students, and they similarly reduced their Int’l xfer class to ~ 11% from 13%. So non-res freshmen at UCB could be > 20% at a 2:1 mix of fresh/xfers.

Sorry for the long response, and I’m not sure how much sense it made.

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Did they release uc admissions by source school data? I do not see it, but in case they did please confirm.

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Usually the Admissions by source school and UC admit rates based on Capped weighted GPA data is posted in Jan/Feb of the following year.

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Thanks for providing greater clarity on how the UC schools (or at least UCB and UCLA) are approaching the 18% cap on non-Californian students, and how transfers and internationals play into those dynamics. I can’t say that I followed 100%, but I definitely think I would have gotten a passing grade. :slight_smile:

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As @gumbymom stated, they’ll release that information somewhere in the 2022-23 school year because they have to see who actually enrolls at the universities. Not everyone who sends an intent to enroll and pays a deposit does so.

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The LA Times ran an article about the numbers this morning.

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I did a more comprehensive spreadsheet detailing all the UC campuses’ admissions in 2021 – see the first post in the following link – for the high-school and transfer cohorts with applications, acceptance rates, and enrollments with their associated percentages. I’ll do the same for 2022’s incoming classes later in the year, or when the information comes out.

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Seems very counterintuitive that with all these other factors considered for admission, GPA is still so high. For example UCI median unweighted GPA is 3.95.

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UC’s have always been GPA focused so not surprised regarding the data.

Every UC considers GPA, HS course rigor and PIQ’s Very Important in the application review.

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Agreed. But to put it into context, one B is enough to drop the GPA to 3.95. Seems like a high bar for most HS students.

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Fascinating to me is the drop for UCSC, the largest of all the UC"s, by over 11% year over year. Reflecting on the many stories in the UCSC admissions forum here that seems to bear out. While not a top tier UC, UCSC seems to be getting that much more competitive.

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@raj_125 , here’s the part which you’ve addressed in your post:

Unweighted GPA

First-Year Median: 3.95
First-Year Middle 25% - 75%: 3.86-4.00

I looked at UCI’s Common Data Set for 2021-22 to see how they presented gpa, and it didn’t present anything in the C11 & C12 data, probably because it didn’t want to convert to unweighted gpa for which the data set asks, and it didn’t present any SAT/ACT data because UC began its test-blind status in that academic year.

The last time it presented any stats data in its CDS was the 2018-19 and it reported a C-11 with 89% with ≥ 3.75 gpa and a C-12 average of 4.0, so it reported some sort of weighted gpa, more like a half-hearted attempt at showing any data.

The only two UCs which have presented the correct data for C11 & C12 would be UCLA and UCB. UCLA’s 2021-22 CDS shows: the C11 data of 55.4% who had a 4.0 and 36.4% who had 3.75-3.99 gpa, with a C12 average of 3.92. (The UCs don’t factor in freshmen and senior grades, and plusses and minuses are elided from gpa calculation, which accounts for why its 3.92 mean gpa and the % of UCLA’s 4.0 averages are about equal to, say, Princeton’s – not knowing if that University lessens the absolute standards of 4.0s, e.g., w/o accounting for freshman year grades into its calculation, though UCLA does monitor frosh and senior grades.)

So for U.C.L.A., the 4.0 gpas go below the median – it goes down to the 44.6th percentile. So its median for enrolled students is 4.0. For UCI, the median accepted gpa is 3.95 per your link. So going through some exercise of trying to figure out how that median figure would drop – just as UCLA’s drops, because UCLA is still somewhat of a national safety school, where 3% of its accepted class chooses Stanford, 1% each who choose Harvard, Yale, Princeton, MIT, and down the list, in addition to losing students to UCB, 11%, and USC, 3%, we’d have to turn to and examine UCI’s yield. (Here’s the link to destinations of UC admits.)

We don’t know what UCI’s yield for 2022 will be, but it wants to maintain in-state enrollments, and lower non-residents’. Your link also gives us the 25th-75th percentiles at 3.86-4.00 for 2022 acceptances. UCI’s overall yield in 2021 was 20.9%, by accepting 31,000 students. These are the colleges and universities (2% or >) which it lost its accepted students to:

UCLA, 2,500, 8%
UCSD, 2,000, 7%
UCB, 1,900, 6%
UCSB, 900, 3%
USC, 800, 3%
University of Washington, 700, 2%
NYU, 700, 2%
UCD, 700, 2%
Total of 2%ers and above is 10,900

So UCI’s yield which is actually good according to UC standards, because each erodes each others’ yield, will have to predict to a decently lower median gpa. I would guess it’d be somewhere in the 3.8s, closer to its accepted 25th of 3.86. And the mean/average would be ~ 3.76-3.78, based on how much UCLA’s drops from median to mean. Sorry for being long-winded, but all there just got to be so many layers.

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Not sure i follow, i thought the link said “admitted student profile”. So yield should not matter.

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If only 1 in 5 students accepted to UCI enroll and become Anteaters, what good does counting all 5 students in presenting a standard-of-admission really matter? It’s nothing but a sleight of hand.

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I think the point @firmament2x is making is the 3.95 admitted avg by itself doesn’t mean much without the avg enrolled GPA.

The admitted average is likely driven up by a large number of high performing students who end up declining.

For my kids HS for UCI 2021, the avg accepted was 4.22 while avg enrolled was 4.14. This number is from capped GPA but the spread does suggest that the avg kid who actually enrolls is nowhere near 3.95

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Ok. I got the point both of you are making. Seems like you both are indirectly implying the 25th percentile of admitted GPA is more meaningful, unless we have access to the enrolled GPA numbers.

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Couple of corrections from my post #15:

  1. I went by memory in stating that in 2021, UCLA lost 11% of its admit class to UCB when it was actually 9%, 1,292 students, and it was UCB which lost 11% of its class to UCLA, 1,868 students. These numbers can be switched from year such as in 2018, when UCLA lost 1,881 students to UCB, and UCB lost 1,479 to UCLA.

  2. The addition of the ≥ 2%ers in that same post which UCI lost students to was 10,200 not 10,900.

The 25th percentile isn’t really important; I was just stating that the median (50th percentile) for enrolled students at UCI would probably be closer to the median of the lower half of admits, i.e., the 25th.

All the UCs present admitted students’ data and don’t really follow through with presenting their enrolled data, except for UCLA and UCB on their CDS presentations. I’d like to see them clean that up on their admissions sites, or present CDSs which reflect enrolled-student data in the C11 & C12 data, and not to present weighted gpa, etc.

Let me edit add regarding your post #17, @doomam3 and your post #18 @raj_125 :

Here’s a link to the fall freshman applications, admits, and enrollees for all the UCs by year – you’d have to click on “gpa” which is UCGPA, and click on freshman admits and then freshman enrollees for Irvine as campus.

It looks like in 2021, that 2k of 13k admits, 15%, chose to enroll at UCI of its top-tier groupings, the 4.20-4.40 range of UCGPA. 4.40 is the highest of this capped gpa possible, but there are positive-but-diminishing-of-calculation factors if a student takes an average of 6 a-g courses in soph and jr years, which would reflect in a max UCGPA of 4.33, which would be straight-A, max-weighted Honors/APs for CA students (or just APs for non-resident students), or if the student took an average of 7 a-g, the max UC would be 4.28. Of course all the UCs would note these students who have taken so many classes and gotten all A grades in the 8 weighted classes (assuming semester-based high school) and the rest of a-g ones.

As to how UCGPA would relate to UWGPA, is wildly variable, but is still fairly predictable nonetheless. I’d say a 4.14, which is in the second-tier (3.80-4.19), which is where the typical UCI enrollee is, would be in the late 3.7s, 3.78 or so.