<p>There's a lot of debate as people try to understand the admissions process and make sense of who gets accepted. I would like to present just one applicant profile that I think demonstrates the uncertainty and level of unpredicatability behind it very well. These are the statistics of a relative of mine, with a few non-determing factor alterations in order to protect his anonymity. I had the chance to look over his application materials, and I didn't see anything in his essays or the recommendations that was even remotely negative. (His counselor and recommenders were so enthusiastic that they wanted him to have copies of their letters). I think you'll find his admissions results interesting:</p>
<p>White, male, public school student in Georgia.
Valedictorian of a competitive class of about 500.
IB student, straight A's, 5 AP tests, all 5s, several courses at local university. Research experience.
1600 SAT, 800/790/770 SAT IIs.
Fluent in French (non-native speaker).
Eagle Scout.
All-State trombonist with diverse jazz, concert, and classical performance experience, as well as paid gigs.
Also plays violin.
Quiz Bowl captain.
Black belt in Judo.
2 years of HS swimming, SCUBA certification.
National essay contest finalist.
Ran a small internet consulting business.
The usual clubs (NHS, etc.), local and state recognitions, and so forth and so on.</p>
<p>He basically personifies well-rounded. He is very likeable, well-spoken, and passionate about his interests. I'm only exaggerating slightly with familial bias when I say there is nothing not to like.</p>
<p>Again, I want to protect his anonymity, so I didn't list every math award, every National Merit-type thing, but they're there too. I think the list above speaks for itself. Interview and essay were both solid.</p>
<p>Well, at this point, you've probably anticipated the purpose of the thread:</p>
<p>Harvard recruited him over the summer of junior year with phone calls, email, and mail. He visited and it became his first choice. Then Harvard deferred him. He sent a nice follow-up letter, emphasizing continued accomplishements and interest in the school. Then they waitlisted him.</p>
<p>However, another top-10 school accepted him without recruitment with a designation that ranked him in the top 0.5% of their applicant pool.</p>
<p>So, what to make of that? You can draw whatever conclusions you want, but ultimately the message is c'est la vie. View this as a sort of allegory: this is in many respects represents the perfect non-legacy non-URM non-singlefaceted non-recruitedathlete applicant. Once you take away each of those categories, each school has some number of slots for the well-rounded genuises like this person. For whatever reasons, they don't always get in.</p>
<p>So if you applied somewhere and didn't get the result you wanted, all those people who seem to be feeding you platitudes to make you feel better are actually telling you the truth. It is a crapshoot, at least to some extent. And if you're applying in the future, look at lots of top schools, no matter how obscenely well-qualified you are.</p>