Chance me please?

So I’m an IB diploma candidate, hearing from the following schools in the next 1-3 weeks and I would love it if someone could give me an honest opinion on what I should expect as far as acceptance? They’re all great schools but I don’t want to get my hopes up(already have an acceptance to King’s College London and W&L as well as my safeties)

  1. Duke
  2. Columbia
  3. Johns Hopkins
  4. Cornell
  5. Vanderbilt
  6. Rice
  7. Carnegie Mellon
  8. Tufts
  9. Brandeis
  10. Tulane
    Stats:

ACT: 36 (35 writing, 32 math, 34 reading, 31 science), 10 composite essay score(only submitting essay when I have to)
Weighted GPA: 5.28
Unweighted GPA: 3.93
Class rank: 2/200

AP Tests: Human Geo(4), Psychology (5), English Lang(4)
AP tests that I’m taking this year:
IB Tests: Physics(5), Spanish(5)
IB Tests that I’m taking this year: Mathematics HL(Year 2), Engliish Lit HL(year 2), Philosophy HL(year 2), Theatre HL(year 2), ESS, TOK
Dual enrollment: College Algebra and Tested out of Pre-Calculus

EC(leadership):
Volunteer at Alice Hyde Medical Center(Head volunteer of ER), College Preparation Club(Founder and President), Student Government(Treasurer), Glee Club(Co-Founder and Co-President), Non-Competitive Powerlifter, Member of the American Red Cross, IB Student Mentorship Society(Mentor)

Honors/Awards:
National AP Scholar
National Merit Semifinalist
NHS all of HS
Pathfinder Scholar Finalist
FLIBS Scholar Semifinalist

Recommendations:
8/10 SGA sponsor(I feel that she put a lot of effort into writing me a recommendation because she cried when I asked her but I don’t necessarily know her on the level that I know some of my teachers)
8/10 IB Coordinator(I don’t know how strong of a letter this was but it must have been a bigger deal than I am making of it because I am the only person who received a recommendation from her)
10/10 IB Mathematics Teacher(also was my freshman year Algebra 2 Teacher so he’s seen me grow as a student, helped me test out of Pre-Calculus and convinced our IB coordinator to let me individually take IB Math HL instead of SL, which no one in my school has ever done. He got promoted at the end of last year and held me responsible for teaching the IB math class material until he was replaced for year 2, which meant that he literally had me teaching the class for three weeks or so)

10/10 Calc/TOK teacher(I’ve had this teacher for three years straight and because of my school’s small size he knows me very well, he also has a PhD and is the head of our school’s math department which may or may not be helpful…

Demographics:
School: Charter(IB Certified Arts School)
State: FL
Race: White
Gender: Female
Income: Really hard to know because my parents are divorced and my mother(custodial) makes close to nothing but my dad(no visitation rights) makes six figures…

Personally, I think you have an avg (25%-35%) chance at Vandy, Rice, Tufts, Brandeis, and Tulane.
Not sure if you will make the other schools, but I am sure that you have a decent shot at them (10%-25%).
Good luck!

Your objective stats are exceptional, but your extra-circulars are a little flat for these schools and for a student of your apparent capabilities. Chances are you’ll get into a few of these schools, but it may be tough since all these are top schools and your extra-circulars are light for these schools.