chances of getting into Paul Merage School of Business UC Irvine as junior with 3.6 without TAG

First year of community college, did not do well because I just did not try, ended up failing a bunch of CSU classes, also 1 assist certified course( which I retook and got a A in) and also got a D in water color (elective but UC does count this class).
Second year I put minimal effort into school and surprisingly got a 3.5, I am planning to take summer classes this summer and also 5 full classes next 2 semsters in community college. I am sure I can get a 3.8-4.0 because I will put the effort into school 100%.
If I do get 4.0 for this summer and the next 2 semesters my grades would be
ASSIST Certified Courses: 1 3.61 70.00/105.00 (if i retake the water color class my ACC gpa would be 3.7)
Non-ASSIST Certified Courses: 2.08 22.00/ 33.00
Overall: 3.21 92.00/138.00
I was going to apply to TAG for the following fall but now I see on the UCI website that Business Administration
(this major does not participate in the TAG Program)
Please give me some suggestions on what to do.
whether if I should retake my watercolor class and boost my GPA to a 3.7 or just leave it, also has anyone gotten into UCI for fall 2017 without doing TAG with a 3.6 to 3.7?
Also I do have felony charges for drugs trafficking.
Will this affect my chances of acceptance?
No extra curricular or job experiences.
Any opinion and feedback is welcome! Thank you for reading.

https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/infocenter/transfers-major
This tool suggest you’ll need a 3.9 to be competitive so, have a plan B.