Chances of getting into UW-Madison

<p>Hi, I am a junior and i was curious what my chances are of getting into UW-Madison. Based on my grades, tests, etc. what are my chances? </p>

<p>GPA through Junior year: 3.4 (trend is significantly up, i had a horrible first 3 semesters :( )
GPA unweighted: 3.3
ACT: 29 (1st time planning on retaking 30+ hopefully)
ACT Subscores: Math: 30, English: 29, Science:28, Reading: 28
Class rank: top 20%
Co-curriculars: 4-year football player, 1 year of wrestlling
Other stuff: football captain (making an assumption for my senior year), part of a leadership program for my high school, volunteer every year at the local sportsman's club, a volunteer coach for a youth football program
Course rigor: 11 total honors/AP courses (5 honors, 6 AP)
honor roll/high honors all three years so far</p>

<p>That's basically it, nothing spectacular except a good ACT, especially if i raise it to 30+ when i retake it. I'm hoping they understand my grade trend and my high ACT as well as a very good Application essay explaining my low grades. What do you guys thinK?</p>