<p>I am engineering at 12:26 as well. I am expecting waitlist or rejection</p>
<p>If people went through the last several pages, it becomes obvious that there are as many likely letter people in the late 1 o-clock to 2 o'clock range as those in the early-mid 1 o'clock range. So the whole WL-accept-reject theory is probably invalid.</p>
<p>Now that we have a good number of people on the list, where is Mariusz360 to tell us the truth?
Haha, I hope his grandfather can explain this. :)</p>
<p>wow you guys are so paranoid</p>
<p>The 12 list is not very diverse in type of college (mostly CAS). Whereas the 1 and 2 groups are very diverse. 12 is also the larger list, but due to CC's overachiever skewness, that should not be given much weight. BUT 12 does have a lot of very qualified students. Students who are so qualified, that they probably also have a good chance of acceptance at Princeton, Yale, Harvard, UPenn, etc. Cornell wants to protect its yield, since it loses many students to those other schools. This year is also the first year for some of those schools not to have an EA, so Cornell's waitlist is expected to increase.</p>
<p>Ladies and gentlemen, I may not be able to differentiate between the 1 and 2 group very well, but I can certainly say with at least .5 grams of confidence that 12 is most certainly the waitlist group! Eureka!</p>
<p>This is the craziest thing I've ever seen on CC. Can't wait until tomorrow night to see if there actually was any sort of pattern.</p>
<p>reject/accept/waitlist
reject/accept/waitlist
reject/accept/waitlist
reject/accept/waitlist</p>
<p>...i hope</p>
<p>Let's make sure to write down our submitted time on the Official 2012 RD thread. We'll see which theory was right.</p>
<p>If it works that way, CAS would get almost no people.</p>
<p>CAS is also much larger, than say, engineering.</p>
<p>are there any theories that say the last times are the accepted folk?</p>
<p>im pretty confident that part of the 12 group is WLed and then the rest through some of 1 is accept followed swiftly by rejected at 2s, i really dont think the cutoff is gonna be rigid 1 or 2 though, imho</p>
<p>sylenteck0 has a point there. Nearly all of the 12-times are CAS, which is the largest school.</p>
<p>Not only that though, but most of those people are also the most qualified.</p>
<p>No offense or anything, but the later times for CAS seem to be less so.</p>
<p>But wasn't there a 2:44 that said he got an engineering likely?</p>
<p>I'm talking more about CAS specifically.</p>
<p>didnt beautiful mind explain that with the cornell will be protecting its yield a lot more this year because of the hyps applicants who use it as safetyish... but i agree that there is something up</p>
<p>I think some people, with a very late time, like 2:54 for example, are actually accepted.</p>
<p>I know some one applying to Cornell's engineering got a likely letter pretty late just quite recently and he's an international. However, his stats is not really extremely stellar, and he's actually waitlisted by MIT. In overall, he's quite unique.</p>
<p>In short, what I think is that some people having a very very late submitted date/time are probably those Cornell wanted judge later for some reason.</p>
<p>Just my opinion, and tomorrow, we will be able to verify any way...</p>
<p>yeah but there was the CAS guy from 2:26 who was a legacy and had SAT's in the top 25% and said he was pretty confident</p>
<p>legacy doesnt count very much when you are RD. It counts A LOT for ED though</p>
<p>Time -----Chg. From Previous Time ---- (Assuming operations started at 12:00, % of total time) -- (Assuming the big gaps represent time when nothing is taking place)
-----------------------------------------20.1 % / 9.9%
12:24 ------------0
12:26 ------------2
12:33 ------------7
---------------------------------------- 43.3% / 55.0%
12:54 -----------21
1:05 ------------11
1:28 ------------23
1:44 ------------16
---------------------------------------- 12.2% / 11.0%
1:54 ------------10
1:55 ------------1
2:04 ------------9
---------------------------------------- 24.2% / 24.2%
2:22 ------------18
2:26 ------------4
2:34 ------------8
2:44 -----------10</p>
<p>For the sake of establishing tiers of times, I think we could use this. 12:24 - 12:33 is a distinct block. So is 1:54 - 2:04 and 2:22 - 2:24. </p>
<p>12:54 - 1:44 has the largest data break in it, but im not sure it would make sense to divide it any further. I understand this would yeield more than 3 groups, but after looking at it, there might be more than 3 groups after all. Like tiers of strength according to cornell or somthing.</p>