Deferred Chances

Can anyone try to tell me my chances?

I was deferred, and am out of state. I have a unweighted 3.833 overall GPA and got a unweighted 3.8 last semester (Weighted 4.6). 1250 on SAT (640M 610R&W) and 1280 combined (640 in each). I know this is low. I wrote a letter saying Madison was my top choice and I would enroll if accepted. Is there anything more I can do?

Also, does anyone know deferral stats for Madison?