<p>Obama officially had 52.9% of the vote. McCain received 45.7%. That is a huge margin for the countries’ first minority candidate. I’m not drinking any kool-aid. Just looking at results. In 1996 and 2004 the country elected to stick with the current President. Barring some catastrophic event, Obama will win comfortably. It will be a massacre.</p>
<p>A lot can change in 3 years and it is foolish to say he is a lock for 2012. He probably will win, but the margin will be a little closer, in my opinion. But the Democrats aren’t going to have a 40 year dynasty like Carville is dreaming of.</p>
<p>BTW, here is a great graph for those who don’t think race was a factor. Before you click on it think about what you consider to be the most racist state. I was right. :)</p>
<p><a href=“http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/37/US_Election04-08shift.png[/url]”>http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/37/US_Election04-08shift.png</a></p>
<p>the graph isn’t very meaningful…</p>
<p>Are you kidding? It is.</p>
<p>A shift in alliance that is MORE than 10% is HUGE.</p>
<p>And South Carolina pretty much staid the same.</p>
<p>Anyways… It isn’t totally meaningful in the fact that a state is more racist than another. =/</p>
<p>It is indisputable that a good number of people voted against (and occasionally for) Obama because of his race. I can’t like to the blog or TED video this comes from but I will quote it:
emphasis mine</p>
<p>The graph has nothing to do with race.</p>
<p>looks like this has become a democrat vs. republican debate.</p>
<p>It’s really not.</p>
<p>hey, I’ll trade you Rendell for him? lol. Dont worry you guys still got Lindsey Graham.</p>
<p>
Except that there are no Republicans?</p>
<p>Anyway Obama has at least a 95% chance of winning in 2012. Even if he’s worse than Bush he’ll be re-elected. It would take some disastrous event that he was the primary cause of for him to lose (e.g. the U.S. collapses because of the heath care reform).</p>
<p>I was on a USC (as in Southern California) sports blog last year, and there were ads all over the place to re-elect Lindsey Graham. Similarly, you also get a lot of ads for Trojan condoms. Google ads are so ridiculous.</p>
<p>That graph has a lot to do with race. There is no other factor which could have led to a Republican shift.</p>