How accurate is RogerHub? Low GPA for UCSB?

Chance Me / Match Me!
1

I am trying to calculate the chance that I will get into UCSB. When I put my stats into RogerHub, it says “Holy Smokes” which I guess means a high chance. What does that mean in terms of percentage? Like 70%?
Also the website’s data is from 2009.
Should I be taking this seriously?

My college counselor says he thinks I’ll get in and he would be surprised if I didn’t. I don’t want to get my hopes up, but at the same time I want to be able to know if, statistically speaking, I have a good chance.

My main reason I am in doubt is that I have a pretty low UC GPA (3.81) and okay test scores (SAT = 2110, SAT II Literature: 710, Math 1: 730, Math 2: 760, Chemistry:760). Most people on this site have UC GPAs over a 4.0.

Does anyone with similar stats, that also applied to UCSB, have any input?

2

You haven’t listed your major…

3

Let’s know more details about your stats, in particular your UW GPA ?

4

Undecided.

5

Yeah I think you have a good shot.

6

yes your uc gpa is quite low, but your test scores are above average (i think) for ucsb. I mean, if your essay was good, your gpa won’t eliminate your chances. you still have a chance, maybe not 70%, but a good one indeed.

7

UCSB is a high match for you, because your UC GPA is low, but your SAT is above average.

8

Roger Hub is pretty useless. Tried both my son’s stats and got Holy smokes for several schools were they were rejected and got around 50% or less for schools where they were accepted. Take the chances with a grain of salt along with any of us CC posters chances. I agree with @QuiteAverage90 that UCSB is probably a High Match 50/50.