Likelihood of getting in regular decision?

So I got deferred and I’m pretty bummed out. VT is my number 1 and I’m really upset, but I didn’t get denied I guess. What is the likelihood that I get in on/before April 1 with regular decision if I didn’t even get in ED? I have a 3.72 GPA 1300/1600 on the SAT (not including the writing) and am pretty involved with my school. I have taken all honors and a few APs, taking AP physics and an Honors Calc course. I’m applying to the college of engineering and want to know where you think I stand?

I was applying for engineering and switched to University Studies because calc wasn’t my thing, I got accepted. Engineering is just extremely tough to get in to. Good luck though, hope to see you next year