<p>I don’t know guillaume. Dean J said, on her blog post, that the number was still increadibly low.</p>
<p>Also, just throwing this out there, did anyone see the episode of House last night? Amazing.
[YouTube</a> - House - Get Happy!](<a href=“- YouTube”>- YouTube)</p>
<p>Having a hard time thinking many, many people aren’t concerned about this topic with almost 10,000 views in just a few days. That seems like more than a few overly anxious and well-informed students and parents.</p>
<p>1220Ant-you are welcome. That’s why I posted.</p>
<p>HooAreWe, I don’t think views means anything. I alone probably have looked at this thread 100 times. You have to remember that over 15k kids applied to UVA, and I’m sure they’re all concerned about LL’s. I bet a great deal of people have viewed this thread who haven’t even applied to UVA… </p>
<p>It is kind of scary though when you do out the math. As Dean J said, the number of applicants who receive a LL is in the single digits. Say 6% of applicants who applied receive the letter. That is 21,831 * .06 or 1309 applicants who receive the letters. That is assuming the 6% is of applicants who applied. If the number of accepted students who receive the letter is 6% that is 21,831 * .31 (the acceptance rate at UVA this year according to Cavalier Daily) or 6767 accepted students. Then we have to take 6% of the accepted students: 6767 * .06 or 406 likely letters. I’m actually very interested to see whether the single digit percent includes all applicants or only those who are accepted. </p>
<p>I hope that math helped and I didn’t screw it up anywhere.</p>
<p>
</p>
<p>@UVAorBust: Dean J answered that question on her blog. :)</p>
<p>Also, if your numbers are accurate, 19% (1309/6767) of accepted students receive likely letters. That is a higher percentage than I would have predicted and may account for the relative “proliferation” of likely letters.</p>
<p>Wow, that is absolutely shocking then. Unless I did something very wrong with my math, 1309 applicants receive LL’s. That is 1309 / 6767 or 20% of accepted applicants who received letters (assuming all who received the letters were accepted). I always thought the number would be vastly lower. This is bad…</p>
<p>I’m reading this thread (several views) and I am an alum… No likely letter here. <em>roll eyes</em> </p>
<p>I have a lot I could say, but I’m choosing to hold my tongue. :)</p>
<p>Sparklesheen - those numbers are astounding. No one should have to validate their curosity or concern.</p>
<p>UVAorBust, also remember that you approximated that 6% of applicants receive likely letters. It may be the case that only 1% receive likely letters. Dean J has repeatedly said that very few receive likely letters, so this shouldn’t be a cause for worry.</p>
<p>That is very true sparkle. I assumed 6% of applicants received letters, but if only 1% did, the number would be SUBSTANTIALLY lower. I picked 6% because I’ve heard that number in rumors before (absolutely no truth to the rumors, but nevertheless :D)</p>
<p>UVAorBust, I felt like they were just low in comparison to mine? I don’t know, I’ll stop over-analyzing now. 
Did you receive anything today?</p>
<p>A school’s acceptance rate is the % of applicants they accept, not the final class size/applicant pool x 100%. Schools accept many more students than will actually attend, so you must keep in mind the yield. </p>
<p>For example, according to college board, UVA has a 33% acceptance rate, but the freshman class size is 3200. Obviously, /way/ more than 10,000 students applied. </p>
<p>Just something to keep in mind… you’re not competing for one of those 3200 spots… you’re competing for total number of applicants x .33, which is much higher.</p>
<p>And congrats to everyone else who got a likely letter :)</p>
<p>^^^ love that comment. </p>
<p>I have never thought about it like that. Haha kinda makes seem less daunting.</p>
<p>That is very true Updawg. It is still 33% nonetheless :)</p>
<p>And Tangent, I walked home to another empty mailbox. I’m not really to worried. I feel rejected already lol.</p>
<p>Don’t give up hope, UVAorBust. Like Dean J said, a vast majority of acceptances were not foreshadowed by the Likely Letter. </p>
<p>I’m still anxiously hoping to get a LL from one of my top three, but I’m not stressing since I know I won’t. (I also know I won’t get an acceptance from those schools anyway, so maybe that helps. lol)</p>
<p>Also, I just did a little more research. Last year, the total number of applicants was around 22500, so that means that over 7000 are accepted! Yes, it can be distressing to see the slots fill up, but there are still plenty of openings.</p>
<p>The majority of people that get in do not get likely letters… I am still hoping to be accepted at schools where I didn’t get a letter and others did (Duke and Stanford, for example).</p>
<p>I posted app numbers on the blog in January. We had around 24,000 applications. The admit group is usually double the target size of the first year class.</p>
<p>[Notes</a> from Peabody: The UVA Application Process: Early numbers and a status update](<a href=“http://uvaapplication.blogspot.com/2011/01/early-numbers-and-status-update.html]Notes”>Notes from Peabody: The UVA Application Process: Early numbers and a status update)</p>
<p>~3,360 entering class
([UVa</a> plans to admit up to 250 additional students for the Class of 2015 - Washington DC College admissions | Examiner.com](<a href=“http://www.examiner.com/college-admissions-in-washington-dc/uva-plans-to-admit-up-to-250-additional-students-for-the-class-of-2015]UVa”>http://www.examiner.com/college-admissions-in-washington-dc/uva-plans-to-admit-up-to-250-additional-students-for-the-class-of-2015))
According to Dean J’s double the target size, ~6,720 acceptances
Applicants 23,942
([UVa</a> Receives Record Number of Admission Applications](<a href=“http://www.newsplex.com/home/headlines/114563339.html]UVa”>http://www.newsplex.com/home/headlines/114563339.html))
Acceptance Rate: 28%</p>
<p>All subject to change and are approximations of course…</p>
<p>Hmm, I read an article online (I’m pretty sure it was NYT), that the acceptance rate droped to 30.1%. I’ll try to find it.</p>
<p>Remember that the VA and OOS pools have very different admit rates.</p>
<p><a href=“http://uvaapplication.blogspot.com/search/label/statistics[/url]”>http://uvaapplication.blogspot.com/search/label/statistics</a></p>
<p>That is true Dean J, but the published acceptance rate would include both OOS and IS students I’m assuming? I would think that the likely letter ratio would follow the IS / OOS ratio and be 2/3 to IS students and 1/3 to OOS students. The OOS acceptance rate is going to be somewhere near 24% this year? </p>
<p>If you happened to see my math in the post above, was I way over shooting the number of letters by picking 6%?</p>