So how exactly do we view our decisions?

<p>As others have said, I don’t think getting an e-mail means anything in terms of admissions. They have to send them in waves, for tens of thousands of applicants, and I’m fairly positive everyone will get one before April 1st at the latest.</p>

<p>i bet the email means nothing…wait until april 1st; we’ll see what happens</p>

<p>still hasn’t arrived…■■■</p>

<p>STOP FREAKING OUT!
Getting an email sooner than another applicant does not mean anything, and vice versa. It simply means that the Admissions people responsible for your area might be better at organization than say, the guy two desks down who chomps on chips while he should be doing his job, thus applicants from his region probably receive news much slower. :slight_smile:
Relax people.</p>

<p>seriously, relax. i got an email from the assistant director of admission yesterday (i got in through QB) telling me to expect an email in the next week or so about how to check admit status online. i stil lhavent gotten that email, but i’m in anways. so chill errbody. go out and enjoy the weather. if its raining, go play in the rain or ride your bikes through puddles. LIVE.</p>

<p>Everyone who did NOT receive an email has informally been accepted.</p>

<p>^adenine,you base that on?</p>

<p>Lol at this thread. Go relax and enjoy your final week before the doom of April 1.</p>

<p>Admitted students usually receive them after everyone else or not at all</p>

<p>I have been convinced by semi-empirical data that the reception of this email probably is not a very reliable indicator of admission status. Consider this thread - by my count, 12 posters have received the email and 11 posters have not.</p>

<p>Now, last year’s admit rate was 9.8%, and the waitlist rate was something like 3%. This year, considering the much higher number of applicants, the rate will probably be lower. However, by being on these fora, one’s chances of acceptance are probably higher. With these two conflicting factors, we can make the reasonable assumption that no more than 15% of us will be accepted or waitlisted (since big numbers are needed to justify the proportions, we will now refer to these two groups collectively as “accepted”).</p>

<p>Also, we can make the argument that the proportion receiving the email in this self-selected sample is roughly representative of all CC applicants receiving the email - unlike emails that sound like likely letters, people are unlikely to rush to CC and post, asking, “is this a likely letter?” Hence, most of us are probably only those who check the fora fairly often, perhaps once a day. (Meaning that we can be considered to have been randomly sampled from the population)</p>

<p>Statistically, it can be shown that there is a 95% chance that the true proportion of those receiving the emails on this fora lies between 32% and 72%. (I know, no conditions, but whatever).</p>

<p>So, how would a split go? It could be accepted/denied, but the minimum proportion we could get for the population is 28% (if 72% got the email), which is still far higher than our hypothesized 15%.</p>

<p>Perhaps the email has something to do with whether a decision has been made already? However, with only 5 days left, and having had well more than three months, it is highly unlikely that the admissions committee would procrastinate a large proportion of applicants to these last few days. A simple 5/90 yields 5.6%, but even if they are procrastinators, it is highly unlikely that they have to go through more than 10% of the applicants.</p>

<p>Assuming that they still have 10% to go, our possible groups are
10% - still to be decided
13.5% - accepted/waitlisted (90% * 15%)
76.5% - rejected</p>

<p>Notice the size of the rejected group - it is huge, and cannot be fit into either 72% (the maximum receiving the email) or 68% (the maximum not receiving the email). Hence, unless the admissions office did something funny such as send half of the rejected, and all of the accepted, an email (and there is absolutely no reason for them to do something like that), the reception of an email almost certainly cannot be an indicator of either acceptance, waitlisting, rejection, or borderlining.</p>

<p>Jamie235, can you take my AP stats test for me?</p>

<p>^ Hahahhahahahahahahahah.</p>

<p>Wow, I’m really really impressed, Jamie235.</p>

<p>Underlying conditions for the test aren’t met so statistically, it signifies nothing. However, that isn’t to say that his hypothesis is not true. It doesn’t take math to understand that the time received on an e-mail has no indication of a person’s acceptance. That’s absurd and we can stay with our null hypothesis that it doesn’t make a difference unless proved otherwise.</p>

<p>Fine. Conditions check for a 1-sample proportion.</p>

<ul>
<li>Sample is random - it’s random enough, for our purposes</li>
<li>Are there more than 23 * 10 CC’ers applying to Princeton this year - not sure, but probably.</li>
<li>np >= 5, n(1-p)>=5 - yes.</li>
</ul>

<p>What more?</p>

<p>okay, i haven’t received this email, and now i am worried :(</p>

<p>nintendo, don’t be. I bet by tomorrow more people will have received them. I doubt that an email telling applicants how to log on means anything.</p>

<p>^I agree with powerbomb, I dont think this means anything, don’t worry</p>

<p>@Adenine plz just watch what ur saying. you could just be throwing stuffs out, but that can actually make some ppl panic this time of the year.</p>

<p>and everybody just dont panic. it really shouldnt mean anything.</p>

<p>i got an email too, as of this morning.</p>