Stats are amazing; ECs, less so

<p>White/female/CA resident
Fairly competitive public high school with ~500 in graduating class</p>

<p>GPA: 4.0 unweighted, 4.5 weighted
3 Honors classes soph year, 3 APs junior year (chem, French, Calc BC-- expecting all 5s), and 3 APs senior year (bio, lit, stats)
Taking physics at the community college this summer</p>

<p>School does not rank weighted GPA; I will most likely be one of the ~15 valedictorians (out of 500)</p>

<p>SAT I: 2370 (CR 800 / W 800 / M 770) - only took it once
PSAT: 240 junior
SAT IIs: chem 800 / French 800 / Math IIC 800</p>

<p>Activities
Piano: >10 years
Waterpolo: will be 3 years JV, 1 year varsity, 1 year co-captain
Swimming: will probably be 4 years JV
Taekwon-do: 1st degree black belt. Since 8th grade, 5-6 hours/wk</p>

<p>Club type stuff
French Honor Society: 3 years membership, 1 year treasurer, 1 year president
Officer of this other activity I don't feel like explaining, and 2 years membership
French Club: 4 years membership, 1 year treasurer
National Honor Society: 2 years membership</p>

<p>Work experience
Private tutoring: spring-fall 2006, and summer 2007 (3-6 hours/wk)
Assist an accountant: January 2006-present (~5 hours/wk)</p>

<p>Awards and stuff
School-wide departmental award in drafting (9th grade)
School-wide departmental award in French 4 (10th grade)
School-wide departmental award in AP Calc BC (11th grade)
National French Contest: 4th place in my region of CA (10th grade)
National French Contest: 4th place in nation
Scholar-Athlete awards, will be 8 times for waterpolo & swimming</p>

<p>Now, what are my chances at these schools?</p>

<p>REACHES
- Columbia
- Brown
- Stanford
- Dartmouth</p>

<p>MATCHES
- Northwestern
- Amherst
- Johns Hopkins
- Carnegie Mellon</p>

<p>SAFETIES
- UC Berkeley
- UCLA
- UCSD
- UCSB</p>

<p>In Everywhere. Your ECs won't hold you back too much, why your committment to sports is really great.</p>

<p>Is "vaca " for cow or "ville"?</p>

<p>Thanks Fred... I wish I could believe you... :-/</p>

<p>And vaca is for cow :D</p>

<p>It's rather funny that you think the Berkeley/UCLA are safeties, yet Brown, etc. are reaches. The gap isn't that big. In addition, Berkeley and UCLA, with the 45k+ students applying, are very, very competitive to get into these days, and tons of students just like you have been rejected, even in-staters. Look into the forums for each school.</p>

<p>Why do you want us to do chances for you when you categorize them yourself?</p>

<p>You're also missing the point of a 'match.' While your 'matches' are obviously easier to guess about than your reaches, the point of a match is to get you to choose universities that you'll probably get into (the 'safeties' are those that you'll most definitely get into). The fact is, JHU, Amherst, NU... all have very highly competitive admissions, so it's difficult to call them a 'match.'</p>

<p>At any rate, I'd say Berkeley/UCLA are matches (your numbers may be high, but they take into consideration your ECs, etc. too, which seem to be a little weak), UCSD a safe match, UCSB a safety, CMU a match, the rest you have pretty good chances at. Stanford, though, is a bit different -- you show little to no focus or passion, so I'd say a reach.</p>

<p>Kyle, she is instate, has a 2370 and is a val. UCB and UCLA are safeties, period. They don't care about ECs a lot (as to overshadow extremely great stats) and especially in light of her Ivy level stats she is in. I'm serious, the only school I would not be surprised she's denied from is Stanford (cuz it's just that good). Well, Columbia too to an extent. Though I agree, I would say Brown is more of a match and CMU a safety. JHU, Amherst and NU do have very competitive admissions but basically she has an AI of 9 which seriously equals instant win at these schools.</p>

<p>Excuse my ignorance, but what is an AI?</p>

<p>artificial intelligence</p>

<p>lol @ firefox
AI stands for Academic Index</p>

<p>lol artificial intelligence</p>

<p>AI's dont really matter... ie with a correlation to admission to top places...that book is outdated.</p>

<p>that being said, you have a good chance everywhere...columbia and stanford will likely be the most difficult fo ru to get into</p>

<p>Yeah, I'm sure that book is slightly outdated...seeing as the level of competition has risen over dramatically over the years. However, I do think you're a very strong applicant. On the other hand, remember, numbers only go so far. I doubt your 2370 alone will best someone with a, say, 2270. Being valedictorian is good, but you're tied with 15 other students...I think you'll definitely be in at most schools but Stanford and the Ivies are crapshoots. You'll still need to write a killer essay to show your worth beyond numbers. </p>

<p>btw you might want to add National Merit Semi-Finalist to your awards list...it would be semi-prestigious and I think you definitely qualify with a 240 score haha.</p>

<p>Oh yeah, I forgot about that NMS thing haha... thanks for the help.</p>

<p>Anybody else want to share their thoughts? :)</p>

<p>2370 + 3 800's + those EC's = easily in at any UC. Don't even worry about getting into UC's.</p>

<p>Actually I'd say you get into all those colleges you listed. Even Stanford.</p>

<p>If those stats are for real, gj and gl in college =]</p>

<p>FredFredBurger:</p>

<p>"Kyle, she is instate, has a 2370 and is a val. UCB and UCLA are safeties, period."</p>

<p>No. Tell that to the people with 2300+, great ECs, leadership positions, etc. who get rejected from Berkeley. Here's one example: <a href="http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/showthread.php?t=164782%5B/url%5D"&gt;http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/showthread.php?t=164782&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p>

<p>"They don't care about ECs a lot (as to overshadow extremely great stats) and especially in light of her Ivy level stats she is in."</p>

<p>Er, what? How much do you actually know about Berkeley/UCLA? See this:</p>

<p>More than 50% of applicants with over a 4.0 were rejected.
More than 50% of applicants with an ACT score of 31-36 were rejected.
More than 50% of applicants with SAT Critical Reading score over 700 were rejected.
Almost 60% of applicants with SAT Math score over 700 were rejected.
More than 50% of applicants with SAT Writing score over 700 were rejected.</p>

<p><a href="http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/admissions/undergrad_adm/selecting/camp_profiles/chart_ucb.pdf%5B/url%5D"&gt;http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/admissions/undergrad_adm/selecting/camp_profiles/chart_ucb.pdf&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p>

<p>Obviously, Berkeley isn't very numbers oriented. It's widely known that essays and extracurriculars are hugely important in Berkeley admissions. The same can probably be said about UCLA. I've seen people with a 3.5 GPA get in because they had really awesome ECs. I've seen rather average people get in because their essays really distinguished them.</p>

<p>You seem to be impressed simply because of her SAT score. Look at the rest: weak ECs for the Ivies, average for Berkeley (music, a few sports, French, NHS), and her awards are mostly on the school level. The national-level French award, though, is one of the highlights.</p>

<p>"I'm serious, the only school I would not be surprised she's denied from is Stanford (cuz it's just that good)"</p>

<p>Then you obviously haven't seen much around CC, have you? Happens to tons and tons of students with better resumes than the OP -- even at Brown, Columbia, etc.</p>

<p>"Though I agree, I would say Brown is more of a match and CMU a safety."</p>

<p>You don't really understand the concept of a "match" either. I'll say it again: "matches" are those that you are very likely to get into; you're supposed to choose them along with a safety or two, and a few reaches if you want. Thus, NO Ivy is a match for anyone, because it isn't a for-sure thing at all. (A safety, by contrast, is one that you'll most definitely get into.)</p>

<p>I wouldn't be surprised if she were rejected from Stanford, Columbia, Dartmouth, Brown, and Amherst, and to a lesser extent JHU and Northwestern. I would be surprised if she didn't get into Berkeley and UCLA, but that doesn't mean they're safeties. More like matches.</p>

<p>Why am I saying all this? Because when ~45,000 people apply to Berkeley and ~50,000 apply to UCLA (making them two of the most popular universities in the country), admissions get tough, very tough. This year's admissions cycle demonstrated that -- all over CC, people were shocked: UC admissions have gone crazy. People who thought UCSB was a safety were rejected; people who thought UCLA was a match were rejected; people who considered Berkeley a safety were rejected (and even after appealing, were rejected again). It's been happening more and more often, so it's now safe to say that Berkeley/UCLA are no one's safety. (Not that they ever could have been before -- CC has a twisted view of reach/match/safety, and Berkeley/UCLA are two highly selective schools that should always be, at best, considered a match. Safeties are those definite ones like CSU Northridge, etc.)</p>

<p>llpitch: funny that you'd mention her SAT score. While the score is awesome, it wouldn't be what gets her into Berkeley/UCLA -- it'd be her impressive GPA, which is much more heavily stressed than the SAT/ACT.</p>

<p>Did the girl in that link you posted even live in Cali? She said the west coast not Cali...if she lives in Wash State that'd make a big difference..</p>

<p>True, it would, but you can also search the threads for more people who've had 2260 SAT, etc. and gotten rejected from Cal. (Believe me, Berkeley's been my first choice for years now and I've been following its admissions for a long time; this year's admissions cycle has scared me like no other.)</p>

<p>Thanks for the information, kyledavid. That's pretty scary... I'm thinking I should add one more UC to the list as a safety? Maybe Irvine?</p>

<p>Kyle, that person was OOS (she said she lived in the West not in California-I think she would have pointed that out). OOSers cannot consider UCB and UCLA as safeties, they have too many qualified applicants in California. The OP has better stats and lives in California. Also, when you state all the percent that gets rejected, ask yourself, how many of the people had all those stats and were instate and then got rejected? I'm not saying that essays aren't important, but with the OP's level of accomplishment I would be highly surprised if she could not churn out an essay comprable to the average UCB/UCLA admit. You make out her ECs out as "somewhat weak". I would rephrase that as somewhat strong. Look, she is highly involved in sports, a rare combination with high grades and test scores. She got 4th place in the nation, I think that distinguishes herself substantially. Yes, an Ivy can be a match for someone as well. While, you are right, to call Brown a match was rash, I would not qualify it as a reach. Probably like a reachy-match (God I love that word). Seriously though, I would be surprised if she were denied from Dartmouth, Brown, Amherst, JHU, and Northwestern. Frankly, she is going to be one of their top applicants stats wise, and believe it or not, colleges of the top calibre look for intelligence first (GPA+SAT), EC's second. You are right, there is a reasonable chance (20%..I'm throwing a number out there) she'll be denied from some of those schools, yes. That is why they are "matches" she is at their level and can expect to be admitted to a few and could be, though not likely, rejected by others. I think you can only say HYPS is not a match for anyone (save someone who donates millions) I am impressed because of her high grades (she's a val), her high test scores 2370 SAT and 2400 SAT II's, AND that she still has time do some ECs. Frankly, UCB and UCLA will have a very hard case for denying easily one of the top students in California and thus they are safeties. And UCI=100% chance of admission.</p>

<p>Applying to UCLA and UCB OOS is the same as applying to any Ivy. Yeah it hard. In state makes things 50x easier though.</p>