^ @Knowsstuff - and what probability did you come up with for your son 2 years ago?
@projectmgr My head hurts from your great analysis. :))
Another variable is that some high schools have higher yield rates, so UMich may “lean” towards deferred applicants from those high schools.
@sushiritto… I think you might be correct. When talking to engineering admissions they stated a certain school in our state that was a feeder for them. Think full pay parents for OOS. My kids number one school in the state was not that feeder. Think. Not full pay parents… Lol.
@JBStillFlying as I still tell him two years later… You are very lucky to be going there so make the most of your time and take advantage of all the resources at your disposal. He agrees and has.
@Knowsstuff - And I was there last year. All I can say is the stats never gave me comfort, being an engineer I know how a single event can be in the tail of a distribution. So keep the faith to everyone that is waiting, everyone will end up where they belong…
@Knowsstuff at #262 - I’m sure your son at least in part made his own luck, although @ckd022’s comment about behavior the tails is a genuine issue. Are you referring to his luck in affording OOS? Because UIUC is also great engineering and I thought you guys lived in IL.
@JBStillFlying sorry if my internet self and humor is not clear. We have a saying around our house, “you make your own luck” we have many examples as a family where this holds true. It’s funny how some of the hardest working people are viewed as “lucky”.
Yes he had great grades/stats and resume.
As far as UIUC really not a huge difference in price for us between it and Michigan. We had a good amount of 529 put away also. Michigan is a better fit and environment for him and he is a sophomore with junior standing in Industrial engineering at Michigan.
^ No prob @Knowsstuff I figured you weren’t truly downplaying your son’s abilities :D/. We (as OOS’ers) would have to consider the incremental cost as Michigan would (most likely) be considerably more expensive than the next best alternative. We wouldn’t pressure our son to graduate early (nor would he want to) even if he’s able to bring a huge number of hours from AP. The full four years would allow him to maximize his access to advanced / graduate coursework. So that’s what we’d plan for.
However, if the regular admit rate is truly as low as 12-13%, then the extra cost is not worth worrying about :)) Even with a bump of some kind, those are formidable odds given the large number of strong apps that were deferred.
Good luck everyone!
It’s interesting that Ross (and maybe LSA?) would release more decisions on Feb. 1, since that’s the deadline for RD applications. I’m sure a certain percentage of RD applicants are procrastinators (like my son) and won’t actually submit until Feb. 1. So are they essentially choosing a second round of EA applicants?
Here’s a different question about deferred applicants and scholarships. It seems like some of the best scholarships (Shipman, Stamps) require an EA application, but I’m wondering if EA applicants who are deferred might still be considered for those. My son is in-state with really high stats, applied EA to COE, and was deferred. I still have some confidence that he’ll get in, but I’m wondering if he might still be considered for those scholarships or if those would probably go to early admits.
@TwoHearted at #267 - Maybe it also depends on the applicant, since we know one student who turned her application in right around the RD deadline and was admitted right afterwards - and technically after her scores were “not arrived” (they were - they just needed to be dug out of the system). So at least a few years ago, they were admitting RD applicants in that first wave. However, applications were a LOT fewer back then (2015) than they are today, so that might mean delays for RD.
@TwoHearted… February 1st is also the deadline for cross campus transfers from Michigan also… I am not that smart but think I am seeing a trend) :
I’m sure UMich is closely monitoring the number and quality of RD applications as they arrive. So, I’d think there will be a solid mix of former deferred applicants and RD applicants in the 1st batch of RD likely being released on 2/1, since the RD applicants have had two more months to submit their applications. Of course, I think the mix will skew much more to the deferred applicants with enthusiastic essays, LOCI’s or some kind of additional contact with UMich.
@sushiritto - from your keyboard to Admissions’ ears!
I personally know a few RD kids that got accepted to a Michigan like on February 1st or very close to it a few years ago. One would think EA would get first crack of acceptance but it might really not just work that way.
^ They did get first crack at acceptance when they applied EA. Now, as members of the RD pool, they get another crack at acceptance. In fact, at the beginning of this process someone who applies EA might have a higher likelihood of acceptance than a similar but RD application, simply because the EA might get another round of consideration if not accepted right away. Schools have their own methods for figuring out which apps in a pool to focus on first, and every RD pool is going to have strong, new applicants who demonstrate a good fit. That’s why schools still offer RD.
This is the email I got back from my letter of continued interest. I’m very worried. Is this bad?
“Hello *****,
Thank you for your email. I appreciate your genuine sentiment and continued interest in Michigan.
I do want to provide context for the admissions decisions. We had nearly 40,000 Early Action applications in our pool this year - more than we have ever had. Therefore, we were not able to admit those that were highly interested like yourself. I will take note of your interest as we continue into Regular Decision. We ask that you refrain from sending additional materials in the process, besides your updated grades. We will consider you among the applicant pool during RD, in addition to the yield rate of our admitted students, to continue filling our class.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
Amanda”
@don222 I recieved the same email a week or so ago and my friends was the same as well. I think it must be the generic response, and I personally am not too worried…
I haven’t received a response to my LOCI. I sent it on January 6th, should I be worried? Also, is it likely that some decisions will come out Feb. 1st at midnight?
Has anyone heard back yet?
Hi. I am not sure if someone posted this but what are some general ideas for the LOCI? I am guessing short and sweet but looking for suggestions. Son will send Monday. Thank you