What are my chances at UC’s?

Hi, I am currently a senior and primarily focused on attending at UC. I was wondering what are my chances for these schools. My stats are:
4.44 weighted GPA, 3.59 unweighted GPA, am in the IB Program, taking 4 HL’s and 2 SL, with 2 SL completed last year.
My UC GPA is UW 3.35 and weighted, 3.58. I have had rigorous classes throughout high school. I am ranked in the top 5% of a 440+ class.
My SAT score is a 1270, and I applied as a political science major.
My EC’s are very community focused and have a lot that I have done for my community, plus some sports.
Very good essays, around 8.5-9/10.
I am a URM, low-income, bad background, looking to make a change.
I applied to:
Berkeley
Davis
Santa Barbara
Irvine
Los Angeles
San Diego

Thank you guys for your time!

URM status not considered in UC admissions but low income and disadvantage background will be considered. Did you receive supplementals from any of the UC’s?

Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.40-3.79 capped weighted:

UCB: 1.8%
UCLA: 2.2%
UCSD: 7.2%
UCSB: 10.1%
UCI: 11.1%
UCD: 16.6%
UCSC: 43.8%
UCR: 63.3%
UCM: 88.7%

25th - 75th percentiles for SAT:

UCB: 1280-1490

UCLA: 1280-1500
UCSD: 1250-1470
UCSB: 1210- 1450
UCD: 1190-1430
UCI: 1190-1420
UCSC: 1170-1380
UCR: 1090-1310
UCM: 1020-1230

Do you have any safety schools on your list? Are you ELC eligible?

Your GPA will make most of the UC’s a tough admit. Hopefully you had some compelling essays and you applied to more schools than the UC’s listed. Best of luck.

All of those are pretty unlikely to admit you.

Hopefully you applied more broadly

If not, you may want to begin exploring your CC options.

I hope you prove me wrong