What are my chances for Computer Science at the University of California with the stats below:

Applying to College
1

I will purposely omit/change names and topics to ensure the privacy of my activities and self. The stats I put below should give you a gist of what I am trying to say.

Unweighted GPA: 3.70 (two Cs in Calc AB, but B and A (hopefully) in Calc BC [upward trend])

SAT: 1430 (780 Math, 650 Reading, 8/7/8 Essay)

SAT Subject: Math II (800), Physics (630) [Will most likely avoid sending this score]

AP Exams: Calculus AB (5), English Language and Composition (3), World History (4), Calculus BC (will take this year), Psychology (will take this year), US Government & Politics (will take this year), Microeconomics (will take this year)

Extracurriculars (vague due to privacy concerns):

  1. Founder of Online Tutoring Organization (serve as Co - President with a focus on tech). Drafted a website, programs, and more for the organization.

  2. Webmaster for charity organization that delivers baseball gear collected from communities in California and ships around the world with help of US Air Force.

  3. Webmaster for student run business, that operates within our community.

  4. Robotics Team Member (community-based), that participates in competitions, encourages/helps other community schools to start their own teams, etc.

  5. Programming/Independent Projects: work on studying CS outside of school. Work on independent projects, enhancing aspects of my life (applying to other extracurricular I participate in).

2

UC GPA’s: Unweighted, Capped Weighted and Fully Weighted?

https://rogerhub.com/gpa-calculator-uc/

3

Unweighted GPA: 3.77
Weighted GPA: 4.14
Weighted and Capped GPA: 3.95

4

With a UC capped weighted GPA below 4.0, it will be tough for the majority of UC’s. You have a solid SAT score, but UC’s tend to be GPA focused. You have good EC’s that are major related and if your personal insight essays are outstanding, it could tip the scales in your favor.

I would put UC Merced as a Safety.
UCR/UCSC are likely (Match)
UCI/UCSB/UCD and UCSD as Slight to Moderate Reach
UCLA/UCB as Reach schools.

I suggest you find one more safety.

Just remember your application will be evaluated overall but academics tend to be the most important. Best of luck.

2018 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCB: 10%
UCLA: 9%
UCSD: 34%
UCSB: 38%
UCD: 41%
UCI: 38%
UCSC: 70%
UCR: 84%
UCM: 95%

2019 UC capped weighted GPA averages:
UCB: 4.23
UCLA: 4.25
UCSD: 4.23
UCSB: 4.16
UCI: 4.13
UCD: 4.13
UCSC: 3.96
UCR: 3.90
UCM: 3.73

2019 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT totals:
UCB: 1340-1540

UCLA: 1330-1550
UCSD: 1300-1520
UCSB: 1280-1520
UCD: 1230-1490
UCI: 1250-1510
UCSC: 1200-1450
UCR: 1130-1400
UCM: 1020-1290

5

Thanks for your input. I am working very hard on my UC personal insight questions, since I figured that my GPA was a problem. Anyways, I appreciate your help. The college admissions process is quite stressful, especially for competitive majors like Computer Science.

6

I forgot to mention these stats:

Took 2 community college courses in the summer: Python Programming (A), and Web Page Development (A)

7

Any other takes on my stats?

8

@Gumbymom reply #3 is the best available information, even though the information on how much more competitive CS is than the overall campus at each campus is unavailable (i.e. you have to assume that chance of admission for CS is lower than general chance of admission). Obviously, such things as your essays can matter a lot in determining how admissions readers will rate your application.