What are my chances of Transferring into University of North Carolina- Chapel Hill and NC State

Current Community College student, graduated HS with average grades in all honors classes and a couple AP’s (probably around 3.7 weighted), went to a different 4 year University and didn’t really care I hated it, I dropped a class and didn’t even show up for a couple finals (long story) finished with an A in English and C in theatre failed the other 2 classes obviously. Took a semester off to get my head on straight and work transferred to CC only got one class, it was English online and I ordered the wrong book so I Withdrew. Started last fall got my head on straight got a 4.0 with 12 credit hours, spring semester got a 3.5 with 12 hours. total if you do the math is 3.75 GPA. I joined Phi Theta Kappa honor society, havent been involved much yet, also an Eagle Scout. I will apply with an Associate in Arts degree as a Junior transfer, so i hear my HS grades don’t matter as much as a Sophomore transfer and also test scores are not required. What would you say my chances are for UNC Chapel Hill and NC State I plan on getting my GPA back up to at least above a 3.8.