What's my chance for Carnegie Mellon SCS?

<p>I'm currently a high school junior who would really like to attend Carnegie Mellon's School of Computer Science. However, it's such a selective school that I'm nervous as to whether or not I'll have a chance. Could somebody tell chance me?</p>

<p>UW GPA: 3.7
W GPA: 4.18
SAT: Haven't taken it yet. I guess we can assume 2200.
SAT II's: I plan on taking Math Lvl 2, Physics, and possibly Chemistry.
AP: 5 on CS, plan on taking Chemistry, Physics C, and BC.
No class rank.</p>

<p>Vice President of Computer Science Club.
Treasurer of Rubik's Cube Club
Former Treasurer of school orchestra.
33rd out of 1978 teams in PicoCTF (computer security competition hosted by CMU)
3rd nationally/10th internationally out of all high school teams in CSAW CTF (similar competition. Hosted by NYU)
11th out of ~60 teams at Philadelphia Classic (programming competition at UPenn)
AIME Qualifier last year.
Math Club (2 years)*
Science Olympiad (2 years)
Science Bowl (2 years)
School Orchestra (2 years)
Youth Orchestra of Central Jersey (2 years)
Taking Theoretical Computer Science course at Princeton U.</p>

<p>*2 years so far. I plan on continuing this year and next year (applies for all EC's).
Junior year courses:
Advanced Topics in CS Honors, AP Calculus BC, AP Chemistry, Symphonic Orchestra, French 4 HNS, Politics and Government HNS.</p>

<p>My goals for the future:
Qualify and get at least an 8 on AIME.
Silver division USACO (hopefully Gold)
All A's junior year(except Politics) ==> UW GPA would be around 3.75
Top 5 in PClassic
Top 20 in PicoCTF (hopefully top 10).</p>

<p>I am certain I am going into CS, and Carnegie Mellon is my top choice. I'd like to be a computer scientist in the future, hopefully in computer security.
One thing I hope CMU factors in is my school's rigor as it is one of the toughest schools in the state (top 10). Regardless, I'm mainly worried about whether my GPA will suffice and whether or not the computer security competitions will have much of an effect since CMU mainly sees Olympiads (e.g USAMO, USACO, USAPhO, etc.)</p>

<p>Thank you in advance.</p>

<p>Too many hypothetical things, ensure that you follow through with some of these plans. I’d say prioritize.</p>

<p>You’re lucky to have so many programming competitions.
The only ones I’ve done are:
PicoCTF(same year as you)
VEX Virtual Robot
MESA </p>

<p>EC’s relatable. Predicted scores seem good enough.</p>

<p>CMU: Low Reach</p>

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