Cal Poly Slo/SDSU... chances?

I’m a senior and am thinking of applying to SLO early action (back up is SDSU) but I’m not sure how good of a chance I have of getting in.
After lots of research I got a basic idea of their eligibility index point system and here’s what I got (based on the formula):

CSU GPA 3.63 x 535.7 = 1944.71 points
SAT 760 math, 690 english (1450) x 1.03125 = 1495.3125 points

I took 4 extra semester of advanced math so its an extra 500 points, 2 extra visual arts so 50 points, 21+ hrs of work a week is 100 points, 21+ hours of ECs is 150 points, and leadership role is 60 points.

This adds up to a score of exactly 4,300. I read somewhere the minimum is around 4500 but that seemed too high, does anyone think/know of what they will think of my score? Also, I am applying as a political science major so the major isn’t as impacted as some of the others, like computer engineering.

Thank you!!

Cal Poly SLO is ED, early decision, so if accepted you are required to attend. EA, early action is different since it is not binding.

I think SLO will be a High Match. Although Political Science is less impacted, it still has around a 27% acceptance rate and your CSU GPA is below the School of Liberal Arts average of 3.89 but your SAT score is way above average so the decision could go either way.

SDSU is a Match.

Good Luck.

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I think you’ll get into SDSU but, SLO is unlikely.

You may also want to apply to UCR, UCSC and CSULB.

Good luck