LOW GPA HIGH SAT. Chances in UC?

Super competitive public high in CA.
Very low GPA. Lots of B’s from AP courses.

UC Unweighted GPA 3.6
UC Capped Weighted GPA 3.87
UC Uncapped GPA 4.2
SAT 1470
SAT 2 Math 800 / Bio 750

5 AP courses: 3~5 pt. (By Junior year), 5 APs(Senior year)
2 CC courses: Calculus(10th) /Stat(11th) (All As)

400+ Hours of volunteers at 3 different organizations 3~4yrs. (A couple of awards/recognition) Youth orchestra 3yrs. Varsity team 2 yrs. One non-academic club president

Filling up UC application and depressed by my low GPAs.
Planned to apply Arts & Science in UC.

Do you see any chance at mid-tier UC?

UC’s tend to be GPA focused so below a 4.0 capped weighted will impact your chances. Good news is that your competitive HS, test scores, HS course rigor, essays and EC’s will all be taken into consideration.

I think UCD, UCI and UCSB will a 50/50 chance based on academics alone. Your test scores definitely show you are a competitive and capable applicant. Best of luck and some UC admit data is posted below.

2018 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCB: 10%
UCLA: 9%
UCSD: 34%
UCSB: 38%
UCD: 41%
UCI: 38%
UCSC: 70%
UCR: 84%
UCM: 95%

2019 UC capped weighted GPA averages along with 25th-75th percentile range:
UCB: 4.23 (4.15-4.30)
UCLA: 4.25 (4.18-4.32)
UCSD: 4.16 (4.03-4.28)
UCSB: 4.16 (4.04-4.28)
UCI: 4.13 (4.00-4.25)
UCD: 4.13 (4.00-4.26)
UCSC: 3.96 (3.76-4.16)
UCR: 3.90 (3.69-4.11)
UCM: 3.73 (3.45-4.00)

2019 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT totals:
UCB: 1340-1540

UCLA: 1330-1550
UCSD: 1300-1520
UCSB: 1280-1520
UCD: 1230-1490
UCI: 1250-1510
UCSC: 1200-1450
UCR: 1130-1400
UCM: 1020-1290

your capped GPA makes this a tough call - UCs are supposed to consider your HS’s rigor. In practice, that’s tough with 80k+ applications coming into the more competitive UCs. On a stats basis, you are likely to get into UCR and UCM, UCSC will be a coin toss, the rest could happen but will be a stretch.

I know, not much help but, i’d strongly encourage you to also apply to a couple of CSUs - SDSU, CSULB would be good. I’d also apply to a few privates - USD and LMU, for example, are highly likely to offer you enough aid to make them attractive options.

Apply broadly and good luck.

@Ifthen . . . there’s no need to be depressed. You have very good stats; if for nothing else – and I don’t think it’ll come down to this, there’s a UC that has to take you…

Here’s a dashboard of source-school applications and acceptances to UC:

https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/infocenter/admissions-source-school

The default tab will give rates of acceptances for your school. The 5th and 6th tabs from the left will give its UC-gpa information.

As you can see, the rates of acceptance for good schools is well over 50% university wide.

All the best…

My friend got into Berkeley with a 3.9 1490 he got rejected from every other uc except for Davis . He had good ECs and fantastic essays so it is possible.