UNC Chapel Hill Early Action for Fall 2022 Admission

I have the premium version of US News Best Colleges and here are last years numbers for undergraduate admission

Overall Acceptance rate: 24%
In State Acceptance rate: 48%
Out of State Acceptance rate: 11%
Early action acceptance rate: 30%

Total applicants: 44,382
In state applicants: 13,110
OOS applicants: 25,764

But here is what I find interesting. The number of students who accept their spot

Applicants accepted 10,446
In state applicants accepted: 6,254
OOS applicants accepted: 2,955

Freshman enrollment: 4,445
In state Freshman enrollment: 3,683 (3,683/6,254 = ~59% accept their spot)
OOS Freshman enrollment: 555 (555/2,955 = ~19% accept their spot)

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Those statistics basically reinforce the concept that many qualified OOS candidates are using their EA application to UNC to hedge their bets while they wait for more competitive/prestigious schools to make RD decisions. The fact that only 19% enroll demonstrates that those same top students are also getting offers from other top universities (some perhaps receiving offers of merit aid, when I assume UNC would not) and just holding on to their UNC acceptances until they make a final decision.

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What are the actual odds that it comes out today? Is this guaranteed or hypothetical?

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You also need to factor in the I/S cost vs the OOS cost, which is significant. UNC give zero merit aid to OOS students unless you’re a Morehead Cain Scholar. My daughter only applied to public schools and the top she was deciding among was UCLA, UVA, UNC. I think that’s a similar set of circumstances to a lot of OOS students but, more often than not, many have applied to and accepted to Ivies as well as Stanford, Duke, Northwestern, etc. UNC has put themselves in this OOS yield situation by narrowing it to such a small, high stats pool. Clearly the offset to this is the OOS legacy pull, which you’d assume would have a significant yield bump.

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Agree: UNCCH is commonly used as a backup school for the top 10-15% kids at our Oos private HS that has consistently averaged 28-37% acceptance rate to UNC over the past 8 yrs, and yield has varied 10-30%. The top kids who have it as a top pick are often M-Cain finalists and getting merit$ as part of that process.

UNC-Chapel Hill received 53,775 first-year applications for fall 2021. The overall acceptance rate was 19.2 percent – 42.2 percent for North Carolina applicants and 10.5 percent for out-of-state applicants.

i don’t have a PID, i’m OOS, but i didn’t apply for aid and my SSN wouldn’t be on my application i don’t think. is that it?

Dont think so, last year it only started working a couple of hours before decisions were released.

Has anyone tried calling to see if they’re releasing today?

Yes, everybody would have a PID , and only admitted students would have an ONYEN after decisions come out. Some people, in previous years, were able to access to their ONYEN a couple of hours before oficial decisions came out. Desnt mean it will be the case this year.

We did. We were told “before the end of the month”. Nothing else.

Just FYI that data is Fall 2020 not Fall 2021 – Fall 2021 is in my post today.

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Doesn’t look like decisions are coming out today. Someone asked on their Instagram and the response was decisions would be released by end of month.

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this is what they always answer. unless they say “it is X day” or “no it’s not today”, don’t count on it. everyone was surprised last year when they released because they had been saying the same thing all day.

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Yep, I remember them saying the same thing last year and then they came out. They love to keep us guessing LOL

This is terrible, I wish I could just know when it would come out so I can prepare myself!

Is there any chance I am not admitted to UNC EA since I am a Morehead-Cain finalist? The Final Selection Weekend is in February (after EA decisions come out), so does this mean I am in by default?

Not sure about Morehead-Cain, but I know for the Robertson scholarship that those finalists are admitted to Duke/UNC (whichever one they are a finalist for Robertson for) so I would assume so if you are a Morehead-Cain finalist!

I would say you are definitely accepted in my unprofessional opinion.

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